The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Wednesday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Houston Astros (-1.5) (-120) at Oakland Athletics
Analysis: Since July 23, 2021, the Astros are 18-1 (+43.0% ROI) straight-up and 14-5 (+46.0% ROI) against the run line as divisional favorites of -128 or more following a loss. Since September 28, 2021, the Astros are 13-1 (+50.3% ROI) straight-up and 9-4 (+38.0% ROI against the run line as divisional favorites of -120 or more following a road loss in which they allowed three or more runs. Since September 27, 2021, the Athletics are 2-9 (-63.3% ROI) straight-up and 4-7 (-32.4% ROI) against the run line following back-to-back wins.
This season, divisional underdogs of +155 or greater are 4-17 (-47.1% ROI) straight-up and 5-16 (-24.0% ROI) against the run line if the line is shorter than the previous game and the starter won the previous head-to-head matchup. This season, road favorites with a starting pitcher coming off a win and an under versus a team that scored five or more runs in their previous game are 31-13 (+15.2% ROI) straight-up and 27-17 (+26.0% ROI) against the run line. Take Houston and invest with confidence.
Los Angeles Angels at Kansas City Royals (-128)
Analysis: Since September 1, 2020, MLB favorites off a shutout loss are 57-18 (+31.3% ROI) straight-up with a starting pitcher who was an underdog in his previous start. Since September 1, 2020, favorites of -125 or greater coming off a shutout loss are 40-4 (+46.0% ROI) straight-up and 32-11 (+62.0% ROI) against the run line with a starting pitcher who was an underdog in his previous start. Finally, Kansas City is 67-43 (+8.4% ROI) as favorites since August 28, 2018. Take the Royals and invest with confidence.
Additional Betting Trends for Wednesday, July 27
- Since 2018, home favorites of -171 or greater off back-to-back losses are 50-20 (+5.9% ROI) straight-up and 38-31 (+7.0% ROI) against the run line in game 3 of a series.
- Since June 6, 2019, Washington starter Patrick Corbin is 6-22 (-46.3% ROI) straight-up and 10-15 (-22.0% ROI) against the run line as an underdog if he lost his previous start. This situation is 1-11 straight-up and 3-9 against the run line since September 24, 2021.
- This season, teams playing on a line longer than the previous game for the tenth consecutive time are 33-6 (+31.0% ROI) straight-up and 27-12 (+42.0% ROI) against the run line following a win as favorites if their starting pitcher lost the last head-to-head matchup as a favorite and finished with fewer than seven strikeouts in his previous start.
- This season, divisional road favorites of less than -185 versus an opposing starting pitcher who won as an underdog in his last matchup are 17-5 UNDER if their bullpen gave up no runs in their previous game.
- Since August 10, 2021, non-divisional underdogs versus opponents that won their last four games are 6-36 straight-up if the total is between 8.0-9.5 runs and the line is greater than the last matchup.
- Since September 24, 2019, the New York Yankees are 17-3 UNDER as road underdogs following a game in which their bullpen gave up two or more runs.
- Since August 15, 2021, the Miami Marlins are 14-1 UNDER following a win in which they had ten or more strikeouts and fewer than five walks.
- Since April 28, 2021, the Arizona Diamondbacks are 56-127 (-24.3% ROI) straight-up as underdogs.
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