The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Thursday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros (-135)
Analysis: Since July 31, 2018, the Astros are 45-7 (+28.1% ROI) straight-up and 31-21 (+10.7% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -130 or greater following a road game in which they had six hits or fewer, including 12-0 SU and 9-3 RL since August 19, 2021. Since 2016, road underdogs seeking revenge for a three-game sweep are 34-70 (-20.0% ROI) straight-up, including 9-31 (-44.0% ROI) since April 2, 2019.
Since July 23, 2021, the Astros are 18-2 (+35.0% ROI) straight-up and 14-6 (+38.0% ROI) against the run line as divisional favorites of -128 or more following a loss. Since September 28, 2021, the Astros are 13-2 (+36.6% ROI) straight-up and 9-6 (+27.0% ROI) against the run line as divisional favorites of -120 or more following a road loss in which they allowed three or more runs.
Finally, since September 15, 2021, Houston starter Jose Urquidy is 9-1 (+39.8% ROI) straight-up and 6-4 (+26.3% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -130 or greater. Take Houston and invest with confidence.
Last Ten Games:
- Houston: 6-4, .236 batting average, 3.62 ERA, outscored opponents by nine runs
- Seattle: 7-3, .246 batting average, 3.66 ERA, outscored opponents by seven runs
Los Angeles Dodgers (-197) at Colorado Rockies
Analysis: Since 2016, road favorites of -196 or greater are 367-138 (+5.0% ROI) straight-up and 305-199 (+3.7% ROI) against the run line. Since 2013, divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 406-173 (+7.1% ROI) straight-up and 321-257 (+2.6% ROI) against the run line if they won the previous matchup against the opponent. Since September 17, 2021, road favorites with a starting pitcher who lost his previous outing against the opponent are 64-34 (+11.0% ROI) straight-up and 54-44 (+15.0% ROI) against the run line if they won the previous matchup against the opponent, including 37-17 (+17.0% ROI) straight-up and 31-23 (+23.6% ROI) against the run line versus divisional foes. Take Los Angeles and invest with confidence.
Totals Alert: Since October 13, 2020, the Dodgers are 17-4 (81.0%) OVER following a home game in which they drew five or more walks.
Last Ten Games:
- Colorado: 5-5, .281 batting average, 4.05 ERA, outscored opponents by six runs
- Los Angeles: 8-2, .266 batting average, 2.50 ERA, outscored opponents by 28 runs
Additional Betting Trends for Thursday, July 28
- Since April 24, 2008, the Kansas City Royals are 4-35 (-73.8% ROI) straight-up and 8-30 (-59.2% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +136 or greater following a home game in which they had ten or more strikeouts.
- Since April 19, 2022, the New York Yankees are 23-7 (+17.7% ROI) straight-up and 17-13 (+12.1% ROI) against the run line in the opening game of a series.
- Since July 24, 2021, the Toronto Blue Jays are 15-2 (+46.9% ROI) straight-up and 13-4 (+46.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they scored one run or less and allowed six runs or fewer.
- Since 2013, teams off back-to-back shutout losses are 42-21 (+23.9% ROI) straight-up and 37-24 (+27.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as a favorite.
- This season, divisional games are 14-1-1 OVER if the favorite’s line is shorter than the previous matchup and their starting pitcher lost the last time he faced the opponent.
- Since September 13, 2021, the New York Yankees are 16-5 (+18.1% ROI) straight-up and 12-9 (+7.7% ROI) against the run line in game 1 of a non-divisional series.
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