HANDICAPPER : Doug Knudson
To say that sports betting is in my blood is a gross understatement. As long as I can remember, I’ve always been interested in sports statistics and the process of predicting winners.
In grade school, I remember staying up all night figuring what situations worked and didn’t in predicting winners. I was given the name Jimmy the Greek Jr. for hitting a 4-team parlay cards – all before high school!
Reading books on sports betting never stopped. In high school, I developed my own Power Ratings for each team in the NFL and college football. I discovered what factors worked best for developing my Power Ratings then started to translate those Power Ratings to basketball teams.
I went to college in the Bay Area Majoring in Business – emphasizing in statistics and probability. I added several factors to my personal power ratings and also developed accuraye math models. The main reason you want to rely on numbers is to avoid being emotional – using instincts and recency bias lead sports handicappers to overreact.
During my junior year in college, I started a handicapping service and went public. I earned several Top 10 rankings at The Sports Monitor, including a few #1’s – all against some of the biggest names in the Industry.
I moved to Las Vegas in 1992 and continued to run my sports service. I was also affiliated with some of the biggest handicapper “Stables” in the country and made several radio appearances along the way.
I was offered a position at a prominent Sports Book on the Strip and soon became involved in creating and moving sports betting odds. Using my love and background with the mixture of statistics, probabilities and sports – I found a new love and decided to put my Sports Service on hold. During the two-plus decades of working for the biggest sports books and bookmakers in the industry, I have gotten to know several professional sports bettors. There was ONE common factor they all used – their own numbers. Some couldn’t name a player on most college basketball teams but labeled each team with a solid number and developed powerful lines to compare with.
Then the pandemic hit. After grinding numbers for the sports betting industry for 29 years, I decided to step aside and spend more time with family. I returned to my passion of handicapping sporting events. With the unparalleled experience I’ve gained on both sides of the counter – studying and tweaking my math models with weighting the factors that matter most – I decided to go public once more and share the wealth!
Awards & Highlights
|League||WLP||Win %||Net Profit*|
|ALL LEAGUES||3 - 5 - 1||37.5%||-$3,300|
|NBA||3 - 5 - 1||37.5%||-$3,300|
*All games are graded at $1,000
|CONF FINALS GAME OF THE YEAR (37-15 GOM/GOY)||NBA||Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat||2023-05-21||Boston Celtics -150||102 - 128||Loss||-$1,500|
|NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (124-99 RUN)!||NBA||Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics||2023-05-19||Boston Celtics -9 (-110)||111 - 105||Loss||-$1,100|
|EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (37-15 GOY/GOM||NBA||Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers||2023-05-11||Boston Celtics -135||95 - 86||Win||$1,000|
|NBA PLAYOFF ASSAULT (123-98 RUN)!||NBA||Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns||2023-05-11||Phoenix Suns -150||125 - 100||Loss||-$1,500|
|NBA PLAYOFF WARFARE (121-98 RUN)!||NBA||Miami Heat vs New York Knicks||2023-05-10||New York Knicks -170||103 - 112||Win||$1,000|
|NBA GAME OF THE DAY (121-98 RUN)!||NBA||Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors||2023-05-10||Golden State Warriors -7 (-110)||106 - 121||Win||$1,000|
|NBA PLAYOFF GAME OF THE DAY (121-97 RUN)!||NBA||Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics||2023-05-09||Boston Celtics -7.5 (-110)||115 - 103||Loss||-$1,100|
|NBA PLAYOFF MAYHEM (120-96 RUN)!||NBA||New York Knicks vs Miami Heat||2023-05-08||New York Knicks +4.5 (-110)||101 - 109||Loss||-$1,100|
|NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (120-96 RUN)!||NBA||Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers||2023-05-08||Golden State Warriors +3 (-110)||101 - 104||Tie||$0|
|2ND RD GAME OF THE YEAR (36-15 GOM/GOY RUN)!||NBA||Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns||2023-05-05||Phoenix Suns -180||114 - 121||Win||$1,000|