HANDICAPPER : Doug Knudson

Biography
To say that sports betting is in my blood is a gross understatement. As long as I can remember, I’ve always been interested in sports statistics and the process of predicting winners.
In grade school, I remember staying up all night figuring what situations worked and didn’t in predicting winners. I was given the name Jimmy the Greek Jr. for hitting a 4-team parlay cards – all before high school!
Reading books on sports betting never stopped. In high school, I developed my own Power Ratings for each team in the NFL and college football. I discovered what factors worked best for developing my Power Ratings then started to translate those Power Ratings to basketball teams.
I went to college in the Bay Area Majoring in Business – emphasizing in statistics and probability. I added several factors to my personal power ratings and also developed accuraye math models. The main reason you want to rely on numbers is to avoid being emotional – using instincts and recency bias lead sports handicappers to overreact.
During my junior year in college, I started a handicapping service and went public. I earned several Top 10 rankings at The Sports Monitor, including a few #1’s – all against some of the biggest names in the Industry.
I moved to Las Vegas in 1992 and continued to run my sports service. I was also affiliated with some of the biggest handicapper “Stables” in the country and made several radio appearances along the way.
I was offered a position at a prominent Sports Book on the Strip and soon became involved in creating and moving sports betting odds. Using my love and background with the mixture of statistics, probabilities and sports – I found a new love and decided to put my Sports Service on hold. During the two-plus decades of working for the biggest sports books and bookmakers in the industry, I have gotten to know several professional sports bettors. There was ONE common factor they all used – their own numbers. Some couldn’t name a player on most college basketball teams but labeled each team with a solid number and developed powerful lines to compare with.
Then the pandemic hit. After grinding numbers for the sports betting industry for 29 years, I decided to step aside and spend more time with family. I returned to my passion of handicapping sporting events. With the unparalleled experience I’ve gained on both sides of the counter – studying and tweaking my math models with weighting the factors that matter most – I decided to go public once more and share the wealth!
Free Picks
Awards & Highlights
Overall Record
League | WLP | Win % | Net Profit* |
---|---|---|---|
ALL LEAGUES | 3 - 5 - 1 | 37.5% | -$3,300 |
NBA | 3 - 5 - 1 | 37.5% | -$3,300 |
*All games are graded at $1,000
Pick History
Pick | League | Game | Date | Pick | Score | Result | Units |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CONF FINALS GAME OF THE YEAR (37-15 GOM/GOY) | NBA | Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat | 2023-05-21 | Boston Celtics -150 | 102 - 128 | Loss | -$1,500 |
NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (124-99 RUN)! | NBA | Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics | 2023-05-19 | Boston Celtics -9 (-110) | 111 - 105 | Loss | -$1,100 |
EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (37-15 GOY/GOM | NBA | Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers | 2023-05-11 | Boston Celtics -135 | 95 - 86 | Win | $1,000 |
NBA PLAYOFF ASSAULT (123-98 RUN)! | NBA | Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns | 2023-05-11 | Phoenix Suns -150 | 125 - 100 | Loss | -$1,500 |
NBA PLAYOFF WARFARE (121-98 RUN)! | NBA | Miami Heat vs New York Knicks | 2023-05-10 | New York Knicks -170 | 103 - 112 | Win | $1,000 |
NBA GAME OF THE DAY (121-98 RUN)! | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors | 2023-05-10 | Golden State Warriors -7 (-110) | 106 - 121 | Win | $1,000 |
NBA PLAYOFF GAME OF THE DAY (121-97 RUN)! | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics | 2023-05-09 | Boston Celtics -7.5 (-110) | 115 - 103 | Loss | -$1,100 |
NBA PLAYOFF MAYHEM (120-96 RUN)! | NBA | New York Knicks vs Miami Heat | 2023-05-08 | New York Knicks +4.5 (-110) | 101 - 109 | Loss | -$1,100 |
NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (120-96 RUN)! | NBA | Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers | 2023-05-08 | Golden State Warriors +3 (-110) | 101 - 104 | Tie | $0 |
2ND RD GAME OF THE YEAR (36-15 GOM/GOY RUN)! | NBA | Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns | 2023-05-05 | Phoenix Suns -180 | 114 - 121 | Win | $1,000 |