HANDICAPPER : Doug Knudson
To say that sports betting is in my blood is a gross understatement. As long as I can remember, I’ve always been interested in sports statistics and the process of predicting winners.
In grade school, I remember staying up all night figuring what situations worked and didn’t in predicting winners. I was given the name Jimmy the Greek Jr. for hitting a 4-team parlay cards – all before high school!
Reading books on sports betting never stopped. In high school, I developed my own Power Ratings for each team in the NFL and college football. I discovered what factors worked best for developing my Power Ratings then started to translate those Power Ratings to basketball teams.
I went to college in the Bay Area Majoring in Business – emphasizing in statistics and probability. I added several factors to my personal power ratings and also developed accuraye math models. The main reason you want to rely on numbers is to avoid being emotional – using instincts and recency bias lead sports handicappers to overreact.
During my junior year in college, I started a handicapping service and went public. I earned several Top 10 rankings at The Sports Monitor, including a few #1’s – all against some of the biggest names in the Industry.
I moved to Las Vegas in 1992 and continued to run my sports service. I was also affiliated with some of the biggest handicapper “Stables” in the country and made several radio appearances along the way.
I was offered a position at a prominent Sports Book on the Strip and soon became involved in creating and moving sports betting odds. Using my love and background with the mixture of statistics, probabilities and sports – I found a new love and decided to put my Sports Service on hold. During the two-plus decades of working for the biggest sports books and bookmakers in the industry, I have gotten to know several professional sports bettors. There was ONE common factor they all used – their own numbers. Some couldn’t name a player on most college basketball teams but labeled each team with a solid number and developed powerful lines to compare with.
Then the pandemic hit. After grinding numbers for the sports betting industry for 29 years, I decided to step aside and spend more time with family. I returned to my passion of handicapping sporting events. With the unparalleled experience I’ve gained on both sides of the counter – studying and tweaking my math models with weighting the factors that matter most – I decided to go public once more and share the wealth!
Awards & Highlights
|League||WLP||Win %||Net Profit*|
|ALL LEAGUES||18 - 22 - 2||45%||-$7,150|
|NFL||6 - 9 - 0||40%||-$4,210|
|NCAAF||5 - 3 - 0||62.5%||$1,640|
|NBA||4 - 6 - 2||40%||-$3,180|
|NCAAB||3 - 4 - 0||42.86%||-$1,400|
*All games are graded at $1,000
|AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (49-28 GOM RUN)!||NFL||Houston Texans vs New York Jets||2023-12-10||New York Jets +3.5 (-110)||6 - 30||Win||$1,000|
|SNF PRIMETIME WINNER (132-109 FOOTBALL RUN)!||NFL||Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys||2023-12-10||Philadelphia Eagles +3 (100)||13 - 33||Loss||-$1,000|
|NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (49-27 GOM RUN)!||NCAAB||Pacific vs Fresno State||2023-12-09||Pacific +14.5 (-110)||56 - 89||Loss||-$1,100|
|COLLEGE HOOPS GAME OF THE DAY!||NCAAB||Stonehill vs Rider||2023-12-08||Rider -10.5 (-110)||56 - 73||Win||$1,000|
|TNF Game of the Month (48-27 GOM Run)!||NFL||New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers||2023-12-07||New England Patriots +6 (-112)||21 - 18||Win||$1,000|
|NBA GAME OF THE DAY!||NBA||Memphis Grizzlies vs Detroit Pistons||2023-12-06||Detroit Pistons +2 (-110)||116 - 102||Loss||-$1,100|
|NBA GAME OF THE DAY!||NBA||Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers||2023-12-05||Phoenix Suns +1.5 (-110)||103 - 106||Loss||-$1,100|
|MNF PRIMETIME WINNER!||NFL||Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars||2023-12-04||Cincinnati Bengals +10 (-110)||34 - 31||Win||$1,000|
|NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (48-26 GOM RUN)!||NFL||Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets||2023-12-03||New York Jets +2 (-110)||13 - 8||Loss||-$1,100|
|SNF PRIMETIME (129-103 FOOTBALL)!||NFL||Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers||2023-12-03||Kansas City Chiefs -6 (-110)||19 - 27||Loss||-$1,100|