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Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 runs  

Analysis: Washington starter Joe Ross is 10-0 UNDER since July 26, 2015 in road affairs after giving up less than three runs in his previous outing. The veteran hurler is 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in three career starts against the Diamondbacks and is backed by a solid Washington bullpen that has the major’s 10th-best ERA (3.67) and 12th-best HR/9 rate (0.94). The Nationals are 22-10 UNDER this season due to an anemic lineup that is ranked 27th in the league in runs scored (135) and has hit the 7th-fewest home runs (36).

Arizona starter Seth Frankoff pitched in Korea in 2018 and 2019 where he posted a 3.74 ERA and 3.61 ERA, respectively. The 32-year-old journeyman should have some success against a subpar Washington offense that is averaging just 3.6 runs per game this season (3.5 runs per game against right-handed starters). Take the UNDER as Oskeim Sports’ Free Pick Winner for Saturday, May 15.