The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Monday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-140)
Analysis: Since September 19, 2019, the Braves are 39-14 (+14.4% ROI) straight-up as home favorites of -140 or greater following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings. This situation is 17-3 straight-up in its last 20 circumstances. Since June 17, 2018, the Braves are 44-15 (+24.2% ROI) straight-up and 33-25 (+25.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites versus a starting pitcher who defeated them in their previous same-season matchup. Since June 14, 2018, the Braves are 22-7 (+24.3% ROI) straight-up as unrested home favorites in the first game of a series following a game in which they had a lead of two or more runs.
Since July 20, 2021, favorites with a starting pitcher who was an underdog in both his previous start and in his last head-to-head start are 19-2 straight-up if the total is not equal to the previous game. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (ML)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 513-142 (+10.3% ROI) straight-up and 394-261 (+11.0%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since April 19, 2022, the Yankees are 26-9 (+16.1% ROI) straight-up and 19-16 (+8.7% ROI) against the run line in the opening game of a series. Since July 1, 2018, the Yankees are 16-5 (+17.2% ROI) straight-up and 15-5 (+43.4% ROI) against the run line following a shutout loss. Since April 13, 2011, the Yankees are 14-3 (+41.4% ROI) straight-up and 13-3 (+82.0% ROI) against the run line at home following a shutout loss as road favorites.
Since 2019, divisional home favorites of -165 or greater are 226-76 (+10.8% ROI) straight-up and 171-131 (+10.3% ROI) against the run line following a loss. Since June 29, 2018, the Yankees are 14-1 (+59.9% ROI) straight-up and 12-2 (+83.0% ROI) against the run line as American League favorites of -240 or less following a shutout loss. Since 2019, home favorites on Mondays coming off a game as road favorites are 24-4 straight-up and 22-6 against the run line if they won the last head-to-head matchup, the line is shorter than the starter’s previous starter, and the total is not equal to the previous game’s.
Since April 20, 2019, the Yankees are 79-20 (+11.1% ROI) straight-up and 64-35 (+11.0%) against the run line as favorites of -185 or greater versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.00 or worse on the season. Finally, New York applies to a very good 720-363 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take New York and invest with confidence.
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (-178)
Analysis: Since July 21, 2010, the Twins are 33-4 (+24.9% ROI) straight-up and 28-9 (+35.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -180 or greater following a home game versus starting pitchers with a certain K/BB ratio. Since 2019, divisional home favorites of -165 or greater are 226-76 (+10.8% ROI) straight-up and 171-131 (+10.3% ROI) against the run line following a loss. Since July 30, 2011, the Royals are 2-24 (-80.8% ROI) straight-up and -11.6% ROI against the run line as road underdogs of more than +115 following a shutout win.
Since 2019, home favorites on Mondays coming off a game as road favorites are 24-4 straight-up and 22-6 against the run line if they won the last head-to-head matchup, the line is shorter than the starter’s previous starter, and the total is not equal to the previous game’s. Take Minnesota and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Monday, August 15
- Since August 1, 2011, road favorites of -148 or greater in August affairs with a total of less than 10.5 runs are 389-183 (+5.9% ROI) straight-up and 311-261 (+4.0% ROI) against the run line.
- Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 513-142 (+10.3% ROI) straight-up and 394-261 (+11.0%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss.
- This season, non-divisional road favorites are 99-49 (+13.7% ROI) straight-up and 81-67 (+14.0% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less.
- Since May 1, 2022, favorites on Mondays with a starting pitcher who was a favorite in his last head-to-head matchup are 15-1-2 UNDER if the line is shorter than -125 and the total is less than his previous start.
- Since August 12, 2019, starting pitchers coming off a loss as an underdog in their last head-to-head meeting are 18-1 OVER if they also had more strikeouts than their opponent’s starter that game, the total is lower than the previous game, and is lower than 9 and not equal to 7.5.
- Since 2020, home favorites in the first game of a regular season divisional series are 36-8 straight-up if the line is longer than the starter’s previous head-to-head meeting and the game is played in July or later.
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