The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Tuesday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-165)
Analysis: Since 2019, divisional home favorites of -165 or greater are 227-77 (+10.5% ROI) straight-up and 172-132 (+10.2% ROI) against the run line following a loss. Since September 20, 2021, the Yankees are 11-0 straight-up and 7-3 (+14.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss as a large favorite. Since June 29, 2018, the Yankees are 14-1 (+59.9% ROI) straight-up and 12-2 (+83.0% ROI) against the run line as American League favorites of -240 or less following a shutout loss. Since July 1, 2018, the Yankees are 16-6 (+9.8% ROI) straight-up and 15-6 (+37.2% ROI) against the run line following a shutout loss.
Since September 1, 2004, the Yankees are 16-2 (+28.1% ROI) straight-up and 11-3 (+56.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -140 or greater following a shutout loss as home favorites. Finally, New York applies to a very good 725-364 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Yankees and invest with confidence.
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (-190)
Analysis: Since July 21, 2010, the Twins are 33-4 (+24.9% ROI) straight-up and 28-9 (+35.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -180 or greater following a home game versus starting pitchers with a certain K/BB ratio. Since September 1, 2012, the Royals are 22-97 (-45.6% ROI) straight-up and 46-74 (-23.2% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 4-25 (-50.8% ROI) straight-up and 8-21 (-55.4% ROI) against the run line since 2021.
Since July 26, 2018, Minnesota starter Sonny Gray is 13-3 (+28.6% ROI) straight-up and +2.0% ROI against the run line as a favorite of -145 or greater following a game in which his team scored four runs or fewer. Finally, Minnesota applies to a very good 725-364 (+3.2% ROI) system that invests on certain favorites priced between -155 and -250 versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.50 or better with a total of 10.5 runs or less. Take the Twins and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Tuesday, August 16
- Since October 2, 2005, the Detroit Tigers are 11-50 (-46.8% ROI) straight-up and 23-37 (-23.4.0% ROI) against the run line as divisional underdogs of +170 or more versus opponents with a better winning percentage.
- Since September 11, 2021, the Baltimore Orioles are 1-15 (-83.7% ROI) straight-up and 7-8 (-2.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs following a win as underdogs in which their starting pitcher threw more than four innings and issued two or more walks.
- Since March 30, 2009, the Seattle Mariners are 22-3 (+48.7% ROI) straight-up as road favorites of -130 or greater following a road affair in which they issued one or fewer walks.
- Since July 15, 2018, the Miami Marlins are 5-1 (+81.4% ROI) straight-up at home in game 2 (or beyond) of a series following a shutout win.
- This season, non-divisional road favorites are 100-51 (+12.6% ROI) straight-up and 82-69 (+13.0% ROI) against the run line in games with a total of eight runs or less.
- Since August 12, 2010, Kansas City starting pitcher Zack Greinke is 11-0 OVER as an underdog of +155 or greater.
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