The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Friday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets (-1.5) (-130)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 532-153 (+9.0% ROI) straight-up and 406-279 (+8.9%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since May 12, 2021, non-divisional home favorites off a game in which they had fewer than nine hits are 41-10 (+35.3% ROI) straight-up and 29-22 (+33.2% ROI) against the run line versus an opponent entering off a game as home favorites.
Since 2014, September (and beyond) underdogs are 140-231 (-4.0% ROI) straight-up and -3.2% ROI against the run line in regular season affairs versus opponents that have at least 33 more wins than losses. Finally, New York applies to a profitable 579-181 (+6.6% ROI) straight-up and 439-321 (+3.7% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Mets and invest with confidence.
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves (-181)
Analysis: Since May 10, 2018, the Braves are 33-9 (+29.0% ROI) straight-up and 26-15 (+34.0% ROI) against the run line as unrested favorites in the first game of a series following a game in which they scored runs in multiple innings. Since September 19, 2019, the Braves are 43-15 (+13.0% ROI) straight-up as home favorites of -140 or greater following a game in which they scored in two or fewer separate innings. This situation is 19-4 straight-up in its last 23 circumstances.
Since June 17, 2018, the Braves are 45-15 (+24.8% ROI) straight-up and 34-25 (+27.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites versus a starting pitcher who defeated them in their previous same-season matchup. Since June 14, 2018, the Braves are 24-7 (+26.8% ROI) straight-up and +9.8 ROI against the run line as unrested home favorites in the first game of a series following a game in which they had a lead of two or more runs. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.
Houston Astros (-147) at Los Angeles Angels
Analysis: Since 2013, divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 421-179 (+6.9% ROI) straight-up and 332-267 (+22.0% ROI) against the run line if they beat the opponent in their previous matchup. Since September 17, 2021, the Astros are 50-22 (+16.7% ROI) straight-up and 43-29 (+26.0% ROI) against the run line as divisional road favorites with a starting pitcher who lost his previous outing against the opponent if Houston won its last matchup against the opponent.
Since September 17, 2021, the league is 83-48 (+6.6% ROI) straight-up and 72-59 (+14.0% ROI) against the run line under the above parameters. Since June 13, 2017, unrested road favorites in the final game of a series are 169-75 (+15.6% ROI) straight-up and 139-105 (+17.0% ROI) against the run line following a game as favorites in which they led by two or more runs. Take Houston and invest with confidence.
MLB Betting Trends for Friday, September 2
- Since September 1, 2020, the Baltimore Orioles are a money-burning 96-156 (-5.3% ROI) straight-up and -1.5% ROI against the run line as underdogs.
- Since October 3, 2018, the Oakland Athletics are 2-18 (-75.3% ROI) straight-up and 5-15 (-51.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +130 or more in game 1 of a series following a game in which their bullpen allowed two or more runs.
- This season, non-divisional home underdogs are 0-18 straight-up and 1-17 against the run line with a starting pitcher who won as an underdog versus the opponent in his last head-to-head meeting. The opposing starter must have lost against this team in his previous head-to-head meeting and the total must be greater than 7.
Join Oskeim Sports today and save 20% on your first purchase at the online store!