The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Thursday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB game previews and Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox (-205)
Analysis: Since September 1, 2012, the Royals are 23-101 (-45.6% ROI) straight-up and 48-77 (-23.3% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 5-29 (-50.3% ROI) straight-up and 10-24 (-52.3% ROI) against the run line since 2021. Since August 1, 2013, the Royals are 4-33 (-68.0% ROI) straight-up and 11-26 (-41.1% ROI) against the run line as large underdogs in the final game of a series following a game in which their bullpen allowed two or more runs.
Since August 30, 2020, the White Sox are 47-22 (+5.5% ROI) straight-up and 40-29 (+18.7% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -140 or greater following a game in which their opponents scored first. Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 531-153 (+9.0% ROI) straight-up and 405-279 (+8.8%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Take the White Sox and invest with confidence.
Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Guardians (-169)
Analysis: Since 2020, Cleveland starter Shane Bieber is 14-1 (+46.7% ROI) straight-up and 11-4 (+50.5% ROI) against the run line as a favorite following an outing in which he lasted at least seven innings. Since August 11, 2013, the Guardians are 35-6 (+37.5% ROI) straight-up and 28-13 (+47.1% ROI) against the run line at home with a starting pitcher who lost on the road in his previous outing. This situation has one additional parameter that will remain for my eyes only and is 20-1 straight-up and 16-5 against the run line since August 7, 2017.
Since September 1, 2020, the Orioles are a money-burning 95-156 (-6.0% ROI) straight-up and -2.0% ROI against the run line as underdogs. Since September 11, 2021, the Orioles are 3-15 (-56.7% ROI) straight-up as underdogs following a win as underdogs in which their starting pitcher threw more than four innings and issued two or more walks. Since April 3, 2016, favorites of -141 or greater in game 2 (or beyond) of a series are 444-229 (+4.2% ROI) straight-up and 340-332 (+4.7% ROI) against the run line following a game in which neither team scored prior to the sixth inning. Take Cleveland and invest with confidence.
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves (-1.5) (-175)
Analysis: Since 2010, certain July (or later) home favorites of -200 or greater in games 2 or 3 of a series are 531-153 (+9.0% ROI) straight-up and 405-279 (+8.8%) against the run line in games with a total between 6 and 10 runs if they are not coming off a loss. Since July 29, 2021, Colorado starter Chad Kuhl is 3-11 (-45.4% ROI) straight-up and -3.0% ROI against the run line following an outing in which he allowed two or more runs.
Since 2018, road underdogs in the month of September are just 163-274 (-7.6% ROI) straight-up following a road affair in three-game series. Finally, Atlanta applies to a profitable 579-181 (+6.6% ROI) straight-up and 439-321 (+3.7% ROI) run line system that invests on certain large home favorites from game 40 out. Take the Braves and invest with confidence.
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