The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Sunday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres (-150)
Analysis: Since April 28, 2021, the Diamondbacks are a money-burning 54-127 (-26.2% ROI) straight-up as underdogs. Since September 13, 2019, the Diamondbacks are 15-40 (-36.0% ROI) straight-up following a road loss in which they had at least three times as many hits than runs scored. Since 2019, road underdogs of +126 or greater are just 98-198 straight-up with starting pitchers whose ERA is 3.50 or better versus starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. Take San Diego and invest with confidence.
Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros (-1.5) (-135)
Analysis: Since September 21, 2018, the Astros are 32-3 (+25.1% ROI) straight-up and 27-8 (+31.0% ROI) against the run line in divisional home affairs versus opponents with twelve or more losses on the season. This situation is 11-2 straight-up and against the run line since September 21, 2019. Houston starter Jake Odorizzi is 11-0 (+48.6% ROI) straight-up and 9-2 (+57.0% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -181 or greater in games with a total of nine or fewer runs.
Since April 22, 2022, the Athletics are 3-16 (-50.3% ROI) straight-up as underdogs of +161 or more. Finally, divisional road underdogs in their last game before the All-Star break are 16-42 (-34.6% ROI) straight-up and 22-28 (-28.0% ROI) against the run line if they can’t win the series. This situation is 8-31 (-48.6% ROI) since 2011. Take Houston and invest with confidence.
Additional Betting Trends for Sunday, July 17
- Since 2014, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole is 46-8 (+17.0% ROI) straight-up and 32-22 (+2.2% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -200 or more following an outing in which he pitched six or more innings versus a starting pitcher with an ERA of 9.00 or better on the season. This situation is 31-16 on the run line since April 28, 2018, producing a net profit of +12.5%.
- Since September 1, 2012, the Kansas City Royals are 22-93 (-43.7% ROI) straight-up and 46-70 (-21.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 4-21 (-49.7% ROI) straight-up and 8-17 (-53.4% ROI) against the run line since 2021.
- Since October 2, 2005, the Detroit Tigers are 10-47 (-47.8% ROI) straight-up and 22-34 (-21.1% ROI) against the run line as divisional underdogs of +170 or more versus opponents with a better winning percentage.
- With Dylan Cease on the mound, the Chicago White Sox are 10-0 straight-up and 9-1 against the run line since July 11, 2021, on the road following a game in which their starter pitched four or more innings.
- Since June 14, 2022, the Baltimore Orioles are 15-0 against the run line as underdogs following a game in which they had multiple hits provided they had no more than six hits off the starter.
- This season, the Toronto Blue Jays are 1-10 against the run line following a win in the last game of a series.
- This season, the Toronto Blue Jays are 0-7 against the run line as favorites coming off a win versus a left-handed starter.
- Philadelphia starting pitcher Aaron Nola is 21-9 (+10.3% ROI) straight-up as a favorite of -140 or greater if he lost his previous outing.
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