The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Friday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge.
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres (-181)
Analysis: Since April 23, 2021, the Diamondbacks are 1-20 (-90.5% ROI) straight-up and 7-13 (-32.0% ROI) against the run line as road underdogs in game 1 of a series with a starting pitcher who allowed four or more hits in his previous outing. Since April 23, 2021, San Diego starter Yu Darvish is 15-6 (+22.7% ROI) straight-up and 14-7 (+17.4% ROI) against the run line if his team is unrested and used five or fewer pitchers in their previous contest. Since 2019, divisional home favorites of -165 or greater off a loss are 211-73 (+10.1% ROI) straight-up and 159-125 (+9.0% ROI) against the run line. Take San Diego and invest with confidence.
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins (-161)
Analysis: Since September 21, 2017, the Phillies are 3-17 (-60.8% ROI) straight-up and 8-12 (-29.0% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +140 or greater following a game in which their opponent’s bullpen gave up more runs than the starting pitcher. Miami falls into a very good 99-36 (+14.2% ROI) system that dates to June 12, 2015, and invests on certain home favorites of -140 or greater following a win as favorites in which they had at least three times as many hits than runs scored. This situation is 159-125 (+9.0% ROI) against the run line over that span. Take the Marlins and invest with confidence.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-153)
Analysis: Cincinnati falls into a very negative 152-318 (-22.0% ROI) system that invests against unrested teams in game 1 of a series if they are coming off an extra-innings affair. St. Louis applies to a very good 99-36 (+14.2% ROI) system that dates to June 12, 2015, and invests on certain home favorites of -140 or greater following a win as favorites in which they had at least three times as many hits than runs scored. This situation is 159-125 (+9.0% ROI) against the run line over that span.
Finally, St. Louis is 9-1 (+66.0% ROI) straight-up and 7-3 (+51.0% ROI) against the run line following a shutout loss in games with a total of nine or more runs. This season, the Cardinals are 8-2 (+51.6% ROI) straight-up and 7-3 (+43.0% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they failed to score a run. Take St. Louis and invest with confidence.
Atlanta Braves (-156) at Washington Nationals
Analysis: Since September 24, 2019, the Braves are 34-18 (+2.0% ROI) straight-up as favorites of -140 or greater following a game as favorites in which they had more strikeouts than hits. This situation is 15-4 SU in its last nineteen circumstances and 9-2in its last eleven. Washington starter Patrick Corbin is 2-16 (-72.6% ROI) straight-up and 5-13 (-52.4% ROI) against the run line as an underdog following an outing in which he allowed five runs or fewer. Since June 6, 2019, Corbin is 6-20 (-42.2% ROI) straight-up and -14.0% ROI against the run line as an underdog if he lost his previous start. This situation is 1-9 since September 24, 2021. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.
Additional Betting Trends for Friday, July 15
- Since September 1, 2012, the Kansas City Royals are 22-91 (-43.2% ROI) straight-up and 46-69 (-30.1% ROI) against the run line as underdogs priced between +170 and +359 following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 4-20 (-49.4% ROI) straight-up and 8-16 (-53.1% ROI) against the run line since 2021.
- Since September 20, 2018, the Houston Astros are 38-14 (+12.0% ROI) straight-up in divisional home affairs versus left-handed starters.
- Since September 15, 2018, the Detroit Tigers are 6-23 (-49.8% ROI) straight-up and 11-18 (-32% ROI) against the run line in road affairs versus starting pitchers with same-season revenge.
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