Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report for Monday, June 20

Jun 20, 2022

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The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Monday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge you need.

Miami Marlins at New York Mets (-153) 

Analysis: Since April 12, 2022, the Mets are 18-0 (+77.6% ROI) straight-up and 15-3 (+73.7% ROI) against the run line following a loss in which they had more than one walk. Since September 26, 2021, the Mets are 10-1 (+70.2% ROI) straight-up and 9-2 (+55.9% ROI) against the run line following a loss by three or more runs.

Miami southpaw Trevor Rogers toes the rubber with a 5.87 ERA, 5.16 xERA, and 5.22 FIP in twelve starts this season. His 7.71 K/9, 4.70 BB/9 and 1.51 HR/9 rates are among the worst in the league. Miami’s bullpen is ranked 24th in the majors in ERA (4.38), 20th in HR/9 rate (1.03), and 17th in BB/9 rate (3.56). In contrast, New York relievers are 12th in ERA (3.70) and 8th in FIP (3.69).  Take the Mets and invest with confidence.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves OVER 8 runs (-110)

Analysis: Since March 28, 2020, the Braves are 32-12-1 OVER as favorites of -140 or greater following a game as favorites in which they had more strikeouts than hits. Atlanta defeated the Cubs 6-0 on Sunday, finishing with 11 strikeouts and 9 hits. Since September 19, 2019, the Braves are 28-8 (77.8%) OVER as home favorites of -140 or more following a game in which they scored multiple runs in two or fewer innings.

Finally, San Francisco starter Logan Webb has struggled on the road this season where he owns a 4.25 ERA and 4.27 FIP, together with a 1.25 HR/9 rate. Take the over and invest with confidence.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 runs (-110)

Analysis: Since August 31, 2016, the UNDER is a profitable 115-76-14 (60.2%) in contests involving road teams entering off a game as underdogs with a starting pitcher who threw eight or more innings in his previous outing. This situation is 21-9 (70%) UNDER since May 19, 2021, and 15-1 (93.4%) UNDER since August 21, 2021. Milwaukee is 8-3 UNDER in game 1 of a series and 8-2 UNDER in its last ten Monday affairs, while the UNDER has been a 57.1% winning proposition in this series since 2018 (55.6% in Milwaukee over that span). Take the under and invest with confidence.

Additional Betting Trends for Monday, June 20

  • Since September 28, 2019, the Los Angeles Angels are 23-7 (76.7%) OVER at home following a game as underdogs in which they had more strikeouts than hits.
  • Since April 23, 2021, San Diego is 14-6 (70.0%) OVER with Yu Darvish on the mound following a game in which the Padres used five or more pitchers and are playing without rest.
  • Since September 1, 2021, the Toronto Blue Jays are 12-2 (+41.8% ROI) straight-up and 9-5 (+24.0% ROI) against the run line in the first three games of a series following a game in which they allowed eight or more runs.
  • Since August 12, 2020, the Boston Red Sox are 24-14 (63.2%) OVER at home following a game in which they issued five or more walks.