The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Friday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge you need.
Atlanta Braves (-1.5) (-160) at Cincinnati Reds
Analysis: Since May 22, 2019, the Braves are 24-5 (+40.9% ROI) straight-up and 22-7 (+45.0% ROI) against the run line with Max Fried on the mound if he won his previous start as a home favorite. Since June 30, 2021, Fried is 13-0 (+70.0% ROI) straight-up and 11-2 (+64% ROI) against the run line following a team loss in which the Braves gave up more than three runs. Finally, Atlanta falls into an excellent MLB system that is 356-127 (+6.6% ROI) straight-up and 297-185 (+5.5% ROI) against the run line since 2017. Take the Braves and invest with confidence.
Boston Red Sox (-130) at Chicago Cubs
Analysis: Since March 25, 2012, the Red Sox are 26-2 (+46.7% ROI) straight-up and 18-10 (+36.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -130 or greater following a game as underdogs in which they scored multiple runs in two or more separate innings. Since September 17, 2021, road favorites with starting pitchers who lost their previous outing are 60-28 (+16.6% ROI) straight-up and 50-38 (+18.2% ROI) against the run line if they defeated the opponent in their previous matchup. Since 2017, Boston is 42-13 in interleague road affairs, including 23-5 as favorites (10-0 L/10).
Finally, Chicago right-hander Adrian Sampson made one relief appearance for the Cubs this season before being placed on waivers. Sampson re-signed with Chicago but is 9-18 SU as a starter in his career, giving up home runs in 23 of 27 of those outings (37 HR total). Take Boston and invest with confidence.
Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins (-1.5) (-105)
Analysis: Since July 5, 2004, the Twins are 30-1 (+52.5% ROI) straight-up and 14-6 (+51.0% ROI) against the run line as favorites of -140 or greater in pre-All-Star game affairs following a game as underdogs in which their bullpen allowed more than one run. This situation is a perfect 28-0 straight-up since June 26, 2005. Minnesota falls into one of my best MLB systems which is 386-120 (+10.0% ROI) straight-up and 295-208 (+9.8% ROI) against the run line since 2017.
Finally, Baltimore applies to a very negative 37-78 run line system that invests against certain road underdogs with an overused bullpen that averages more than 3.2 innings per game. This situation is 45-17 (+26.5 units) over the last three seasons when fading these underdogs. Take Minnesota and invest with confidence.
Additional Betting Trends for Friday, July 1
- Since September 24, 2020, the Dodgers are 50-9 (+20.0% ROI) straight-up and 42-17 (+31.3% ROI) against the run line following a home game versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.01 or worse.
- Since 2014, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole is 45-7 (+19.1% ROI) straight-up and 31-21 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -200 or more following an outing in which he pitched six or more innings versus a starting pitcher with an ERA of 9.00 or better on the season.
- Since July 3, 2018, New York starter Chris Bassitt is 19-1 (+44.9% ROI) straight-up and 15-5 (+47.2% ROI) against the run line as a favorite of -141 or greater if he won his previous outing.
- Since August 10, 2021, the St. Louis Cardinals are 15-1 (+64.9% ROI) straight-up and 14-2 (+73.0% ROI) against the run line as road favorites following a game in which their starter allowed more than one run.
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