With a full slate of college basketball games scheduled on Saturday, February 13, I wanted to provide you with projected point spreads on some of those contests. These projections are generated by two of my math models, which have been extremely successful in highlighting discrepancies between the lines posted by the oddsmakers and what my models believe the lines should be.
Oskeim Sports’ College Basketball Market Update: Saturday, February 13
- Texas at Iowa State (-3)
- Kent State at Eastern Michigan (-5.5)
- Kentucky at South Carolina (+3)
- Kansas State at Oklahoma State (-1.5)
- Texas A&M at LSU (pk)
- Kansas at Oklahoma (-4)
- Purdue at Michigan (+1)
- Memphis at Tulane (+6)
- Washington at Colorado (-5.5)
- James Madison at UNC-Wilmington (-4)
- Louisville at Notre Dame (-1)
- George Washington at St. Bonaventure (-3)
- Ball State at Central Michigan (-8.5)
- Wisconsin at Maryland (-9)
- Fresno State at Nevada (-5)
- Virginia at Duke (-4)
- Texas Tech at Baylor (-9.5)
- Tulsa at Connecticut (-9)
Of course, sports handicapping requires more than just math, such as fundamental, technical and situational analysis. While math plays a role in my handicapping methodology, the vast majority of my work involves analyzing the fundamental, technical and situational aspects of each game.
The above list includes teams that are facing classic letdown spots, that is, situations in which they are coming off a season-defining win and have a quick turnaround a few days later. The list also includes teams with injury concerns, including Colorado, who may be without forward Josh Scott due to an ankle injury. Scott is averaging 16.7 points and 9.1 rebounds per game this season.
Many professional sports investors I know “bet numbers” as opposed to betting on particular teams. Value is paramount in sports betting, which is why professional bettors (i.e. sharps) always get the best of the number. Amateur bettors have a tendency to “chase the steam” and bet into bad numbers with little to no value.
If you would like to discuss this article or anything pertaining to sports betting, please give me a call at 888-631-6459. I look forward to hearing from you and wish you all the best in 2016.