MLB Game Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers

May 16, 2022

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Game: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers 

Time: 10:10 p.m. ET 

Odds:  Diamondbacks +200, Dodgers -250 

Total: 8.5 

The Dodgers were leading the NL West until a four-game weekend series with the Phillies. Los Angeles lost three games, gave up 33 runs, and salvaged a win on Sunday with a ninth-inning walk-off win. Now, they will get Arizona at home and beating the Diamondbacks won’t be easy either. Arizona is 18-17 SU in a loaded NL West. The Dodgers are 11-5 SU at home so far this season and starting pitcher Tony Gonsolin will try to get L.A. back on track. 

Gonsolin is off to a strong start in 2022. He is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA. Gonsolin has allowed just four earned runs in his six starts this season. He picked up wins in each of his last two starts and he had plenty of help. Gonsolin allowed just one earned run in 10 innings against Pittsburgh and San Francisco. The Dodgers put up a combined 20 runs in those games, a 9-1 win over the Giants and an 11-1 victory over the Pirates. 

The Dodgers will go up against a familiar face in D-Backs pitcher Madison Bumgarner. The former Giants left-hander is 2-1 so far this season with a 1.78 ERA. Arizona has won each of Bumgarner’s last three starts. The last two were against Miami, which is not exactly a powerhouse at the plate. The Dodgers, on the other hand, average 5.5 runs per game when playing at home. That’s the fourth-best home average in the majors.  

The Diamondbacks have struggled at the plate at times this season. They rank dead last (30th) and 26th in runs per game (3.54). The key number for Arizona is four. In their last eight games, when the D-Backs failed to reach four runs, they lost. When they score four or more, they have won. Arizona is 4-4 over its last eight games and 12-6 SU over its last 18. The D-Backs have not fared well against the Dodgers though as they have lost 15 of the last 20 games against Los Angeles. 

The Dodgers are just 1-4 SU in their last five games. In those five games, the Dodgers surrendered 38 runs. L.A. has been favored in every game it has played this season. Tonight is no different. The Dodgers are 21-12 SU and 20-13 ATS. They have had success against left-handed starting pitchers too with a 9-4 record so far this season. 

The total has gone Under in seven of Arizona’s last nine games, but the Over is 6-1 in the D-Backs’ last seven road games. The Over has been the trend for the Dodgers. The Over is 5-1 in L.A.’s last six games and 5-0 in the Dodgers’ last five home games. Against Arizona however, five of the last six games have seen the total go Under.  

The Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Arizona at home. The D-Backs have the third-worst bullpen ERA in the majors at 4.87. Bumgarner’s last start against Miami was his longest. He went 6.1 innings. He hadn’t gone over 5.0 innings in any of his previous six starts.