On Saturday, Oskeim Sports previews the MLB game between the Los Angles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers. Oskeim recommends taking the UNDER 7.5 runs as one of his free sports picks for Saturday, July 14.
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Dodgers’ starter Alex Wood is having another solid campaign in 2018, posting a 3.88 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.50 FIP and 3.48 xFIP in eighteen starts. The crafty southpaw currently owns a career-low walk rate (1.63 BB/9) and has been very strong in front of the home faithful.
Specifically, Wood has a 3.68 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 3.43 xFIP across 51.1 innings of work inside Dodgers Stadium. The 27-year-old toes the rubber with a 3.00 ERA, 1.08 WHIP in July and has tossed six-plus innings in each of his past four starts. Wood is 3-0 with a 2.88 ERA over that span.
Angels’ southpaw Andrew Heaney takes the mound with a 3.84 ERA, 3.79 FIP and 3.78 xFIP in sixteen starts this season, a span encompassing 96.0 innings. He has pitched extremely well in July as evidenced by a 3.21 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 2.27 FIP and 2.28 xFIP, together with a 12.86 K/9 rate and a 21.9% hard contact rate.
In his lone start against the Dodgers this season, Heaney allowed three runs on three hits over 7.0 innings of work (10/3 K/BB). Heaney is backed by an improving Los Angeles bullpen that owns a 2.79 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in interleague play, a 3.43 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in afternoon affairs and a 1.95 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over its last seven games.
Similarly, Wood is supported by a Dodgers’ relief staff that owns a 3.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in day games and a 2.95 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over their previous seven games. Let’s also note that the Dodgers are averaging just 3.7 runs per game versus left-handed starters (.691 OPS) and 3.4 runs over their last seven games (.578 OPS).
The Angels are averaging just 4.0 runs per game against left-handed starters (.690 OPS), 3.4 runs per game in interleague play (.682) and 4.1 runs over their last seven games (.656 OPS).
Trends Supporting UNDER 7.5 Runs
- UNDER 9-0 in Angels’ L/9 interleague road games vs. .501 or better foes
- UNDER 18-6-3 in Angels’ L/27 interleague affairs
- UNDER 7-0 in Angels’ L/7 interleague road games
- UNDER 10-3-1 in Angels’ L/14 games overall
- UNDER 9-1-2 in Heaney’s L/12 starts vs. .501 of greater opposition
- UNDER 8-2-2 in Heaney’s L/12 starts overall
The UNDER is 5-0 in the Dodgers’ last five interleague clashes, 8-2-1 in the Dodgers’ last eleven interleague home games versus teams with a winning record and 5-0 in their last five meetings with American League West foes.
The UNDER has also cashed four straight tickets in this series. Take the UNDER 7.5 runs as one of Oskeim Sports’ free sports picks for Saturday, July 14.
Oskeim Sports’ Free Sports Picks for Saturday, July 14:
- Los Angeles Angels/Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7.5 runs
- New York Yankees/Cleveland Indians OVER 9 runs
- San Francisco Giants (-115) over Oakland Athletics
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