Tuesday’s Top Starting Pitcher Team Trends:
- Ryan Dempster is 22-4 (+19.9 units) at home in the month of June;
- Edwin Jackson is 3-16 (-14.7 units) versus division opponents L/2 seasons;
- Eric Stults is 14-6 (+12.2 units) at night L/2 seasons;
- Kris Medlen is 25-5 (+20.3 units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra-base hits per game;
- Jason Marquis is 24-11 (+20.5 units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra-base hits per game;
- Justin Masterson is 15-3 (+16.7 units) versus teams averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game
Tuesday’s Top Team Trends:
- The Baltimore Orioles are 27-7 (+23.7 units) versus pitchers who have a WHIP between 1.30 and 1.40;
- The Los Angeles Angels are 19-35 (-28.0 units) at night this season;
- The Los Angeles Dodgers are 3-18 (-17.6 units) versus starting pitchers who yield 5.5 or less hits per start this season;
- The Los Angeles Dodgers are 11-23 (-20.3 units) versus division opponents this season;
- The Pittsburgh Pirates are 23-7 (+19.4 units) versus teams with a win percentage between .380 and .460 this season
Miscellaneous Thoughts/Handicapping:
- Chicago right-hander Edwin Jackson has really struggled on the road recently where he has allowed nine runs in his last fourteen innings pitched. Overall, Jackson is 2-4 with a pedestrian 4.17 ERA and 1.28 WHIP away from home in 2013, and now faces a Milwaukee lineup that boasts a .745 OPS over the last two weeks;
- Milwaukee starter Kyle Lohse takes the mound in excellent form with a 1.35 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts, including allowing just 15 hits in 20 innings of work. Lohse has a favorable matchup against a Chicago offense that is batting .222 with a .271 on base percentage on the road (3.2 runs per game) and .208 with a .266 on base percentage versus division opponents (2.8 runs per game);
- Seattle southpaw Joe Saunders is 4-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.07 WHIP at Safeco Field this season and boasts an impressive 2.95 ERA over the last month. The consummate soft-tosser takes the mound in excellent form with a 2.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over his last three starts, including allowing just two runs in his last 15 frames. Let’s also note that Saunders is 3-0 with a career 3.15 ERA and 1.10 WHIP versus the Pirates (3 ER in last 14 IP);
- Minnesota starter Kevin Correia has quietly put together a 3.65 ERA in June, together with a 22/3 K/BB ratio. Correia also finds himself in good form as evidenced by his 3.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over the last three starts, including a 19/1 K/BB ratio in 18 innings of work. The fact that Correia owns a 3.00 over his last three outings is even more impressive in light of his 35% hit rate, which is unsustainable and will decline in the near future (thereby producing even better peripheral statistics).
