Game: Los Angeles Chargers @ Indianapolis Colts
Time: 8:15 p.m.
Odds: Chargers -4, Colts +4
The Indianapolis Colts (4-9-1 SU, 6-8 ATS) will host the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6, 8-5-1) tonight looking to bounce back from last weekend’s crushing defeat to the Minnesota Vikings. The Colts jumped out to a 33-0 lead over Minnesota but ended up losing 39-36 in overtime. It was the Colts’ seventh loss in eight games. The Chargers, on the other hand, have won two straight after an impressive 17-14 victory over Tennessee. The Chargers are still in the hunt for a spot in the AFC playoffs.
The Chargers and Colts haven’t played since 2019. Los Angeles has won seven of the last nine meetings, including three of the last four in Indianapolis. The Chargers have been a solid bet recently with a 7-2-1 ATS mark over their last ten games. That is part of why they are a 4-point road favorite heading into tonight.
The Chargers have won three of their last four games. The defense came up big last week holding Tennessee to just 284 total yards. With the Jets, Patriots, Raiders, and Dolphins all losing this weekend, the Chargers are now No. 6 in the AFC playoff picture.
The Chargers’ offense has struggled some recently. Over the past three weeks, quarterback Justin Herbert has averaged a remarkable 338.3 passing yards per game, but he has only completed two touchdown passes during that time frame and threw two interceptions last week. The Chargers managed 20, 23, and 17 points in those three games. Los Angeles averages 22.7 points per game for the season.
The Colts’ 2022 season has been a bust. Indy has lost two straight games giving up 93 points in the process. Over the past three weeks, QB Matt Ryan averaged 204.3 passing yards per game. He looks nothing like the former NFL MVP he once was. After last week’s record-breaking collapse, the Colts have decided to start Nick Foles at quarterback against the Chargers.
Indianapolis will also be without RB Jonathan Taylor who is done for the season after suffering an ankle injury last week. Zack Moss, who had 81 rushing yards last week, will become the Colts go-to back. The Colts running game, a strong point last season, ranks 23rd in the NFL this season. That is one of the reasons why the Indy offense has had trouble reaching the end zone this season. The Colts rank 27th in scoring averaging 17.5 points per game.
In eight of the last nine games involving these clubs, the final score has totaled 40 or above. Interestingly, the UNDER is 6-2-1 in those last nine games. The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. They are also 14-5-1 ATS in the last 20 games against the Colts and 12-2 ATS in the last 14 trips to Indianapolis. Indianapolis is 6-8 ATS this season and 3-3 ATS at home.
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