Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Monday, April 1! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Monday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Boston Celtics (-17) (-110) at Charlotte Hornets
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1546-1253-56 ATS (55.2%), including 688-548-28 ATS (55.7%) since 2018. Since 2001, NBA road favorites coming off a win that snapped a two-plus game losing streak are 425-312-13 ATS (57.7%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater coming off a win that broke a two-plus game losing streak are 204-146-7 ATS (58.3%), including 68-47-1 ATS (59.1%) since 2018. Since 2005, double-digit road favorites are 294-231-13 ATS (56%), including 168-119-5 ATS (58.5%) since 2017. Since 2005, double-digit conference road favorites are 190-150-13 ATS (56%), including 107-75-4 ATS (58.8%) since 2017.
Boston falls into very strong 268-190-9 ATS (58.5%) and 229-161-10 ATS (58.7%) statistical profile indicators of mine that date to 1996 and are predicated turnovers. These situations are 122-74-1 ATS (62.2%) and 96-58-1 ATS (62.3%), respectively, since 2017. Finally, since 1998, NBA underdogs on back-to-back games that have won three or more consecutive games at the current site are 169-247-4 ATS (40.6%) versus teams coming off a game that went under the total.
New York Yankees (-125) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Report: Since 2008, non-divisional road favorites in game 1 of a series are 228-142 SU (61.6%; +6.4% ROI) and 177-192 RL (+3.7% ROI) coming off three or more wins, including 84-37 SU (69.4%; +14.6% ROI) and 74-47 RL (61.2%; +25% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +2.23 runs per game. Since 2010, American League road favorites priced between -120 and -220 are 1269-830 SU (60.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 995-1098 RL (+1.3% ROI) versus non-divisional opponents, winning by an average margin of +1.33 runs per game. Since 2008, MLB road favorites coming off two or more consecutive wins are 169-99 SU (63.1%; +10.5% ROI) and 138-129 RL (+13.4% ROI) following a game in which they won in the ninth inning, including 62-24 SU (72.1%; +23% ROI) and 51-35 RL (+25.1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.97 runs per game.
Finally, the Yankees are 121-82 (59.6%; +1% ROI) in game 1 of a non-divisional series, winning by an average of +1.1 runs per game.
Atlanta Braves (-1.5) (-185) at Chicago White Sox
Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2380-903 SU (72.5%; +2.4% ROI) and 1754-1322 RL (57%; +3.1% ROI), including 1248-429 SU (74.4%; +4.2% ROI) and 988-690 RL (58.9%; +3.3% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.4 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road favorites of -200 or greater are 688-293 SU (70.1%; +2% ROI) and 550-384 RL (58.9%; +2% ROI), winning by an average of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2006, .501 or greater road favorites of greater than -200 are 481-179 SU (72.9%; +3.8% ROI) and 392-234 RL (62.6%; +6.6% ROI), winning by an average of +2.6 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB road favorites of -200 or greater are 540-251 SU (68.3%) and 407-384316 RL (56.3%) versus .449 or worse opponents, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game.
Since 2003, MLB favorites of more than -185 coming off a loss in which they led after the sixth inning are 239-103 SU (69.9%; +1.1% ROI) and 159-132 RL (+3.6% ROI), including 98-26 SU (79%; +12.9% ROI) and 75-48 RL (61%; +11.5% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.52 runs per game. Finally, since 2008, American League home underdogs of +165 or greater coming off back-to-back losses as underdogs are 67-160 SU (29.5%; -15.2% ROI) and 95-132 RL (41.9%; -10.3% ROI), losing by an average of -2.32 runs per game.
Seattle Kraken (-220) at San Jose Sharks
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2039-1301 (61%; +3.4% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 488-289 (62.8%; +2% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.73 goals per game. Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off three or more consecutive road games are 279-180 (60.8%; +2.8% ROI) from Game 41 out, including 113-67 (62.8%; +2.4% ROI) since 2018. Since 2005, NHL road favorites of -140 or greater are 697-351 (66.5%; +4.6% ROI) versus opponents coming off a win, including 394-188 (67.7%; +4.8% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average of +0.9 goals per game.
Since 2011, NHL road favorites of -160 or greater are 375-185 (67%; +1% ROI) from Game 45 out provided they have the same amount or more rest than their opponent, including 179-81 (68.8%; +1.1% ROI) since 2021. Finally, since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1255-2051 (38%; -6.2% ROI), including 266-571 (31.8%; -15.7% ROI) since 2020.
Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) (-135) at Columbus Blue Jackets
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2039-1301 (61%; +3.4% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 488-289 (62.8%; +2% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.73 goals per game. Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off three or more consecutive road games are 279-180 (60.8%; +2.8% ROI) from Game 41 out, including 113-67 (62.8%; +2.4% ROI) since 2018. Since 2005, NHL road favorites of -140 or greater are 697-351 (66.5%; +4.6% ROI) versus opponents coming off a win, including 394-188 (67.7%; +4.8% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average of +0.9 goals per game. Since 2011, NHL road favorites of -160 or greater are 375-185 (67%; +1% ROI) from Game 45 out provided they have the same amount or more rest than their opponent, including 179-81 (68.8%; +1.1% ROI) since 2021.
Since 2014, NHL teams coming off an overtime affair are just 235-310 (43.1%; -2.3% ROI) from Game 41 out, including 113-158 (41.7%; -2.2% ROI) since 2020. Finally, since 2003, NHL home underdogs coming off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1070-1516 (41.4%; -6% ROI), including 280-476 (37%; -11.3% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.75 goals per game.
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