Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Tuesday, April 2! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Tuesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Los Angeles Lakers (-12) (-110) at Toronto Raptors
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1546-1254-56 ATS (55.2%), including 688-549-28 ATS (55.6%) since 2018. Los Angeles falls into very strong 268-191-9 ATS (58.4%) and 229-162-10 ATS (58.6%) statistical profile indicators of mine that date to 1996 and are predicated turnovers. These situations are 122-75-1 ATS (61.9%) and 96-59-1 ATS (61.9%), respectively, since 2017. Since 2005, double-digit road favorites are 294-232-13 ATS (55.9%), including 168-120-5 ATS (58.3%) since 2017. Since 1999, NBA road favorites of 9-plus points are 149-98-8 ATS (60.3%) versus opponents with the same amount of rest after the All-Star break, including 92-57-3 ATS (61.7%) since 2015.
Since 2007, double-digit favorites are 530-426-23 ATS (55.4%) versus .499 or worse opponents after the All-Star break if they have a non-division game on deck, winning by an average of +13.91 points per game. Since 1989, NBA non-conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 690-546-26 ATS (55.8%), including 140-88-4 ATS (61.4%) since 2020. Since 1989, Western Conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 458-322-16 ATS (58.7%) versus non-conference foes, including 81-45-3 ATS (64.3%) since 2020.
Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 796-1039-37 ATS (43.4%) versus .749 or worse opponents.
New York Knicks at Miami Heat UNDER 207.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1121-900-70 to the Under (55.5%) with totals of less than 223 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 590-428-36 to the Under (58%) with totals of less than 218 points. Since 2001, NBA games between teams that have the lowest total of their last three games in contests with totals of less than 225 points are 1196-863-72 (58.1%), including 515-338-28 (60.4%) since 2015, covering the total by an average margin of -3.1 points per game.
Finally, the under applies to a very good 193-157-14 (55.1%) NBA totals system of mine that dates to 2014.
Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils (-157)
Report: Since 2011, NHL favorites of less than -200 are 1393-848 (62.2%; +4.8% ROI) versus unrested opposition, including 347-167 (67.5%; +13.8% ROI) since 2020. Since 2007, NHL favorites of less than -200 in games with totals of six or more goals are 565-281 (66.8%; +12.6% ROI) versus unrested opposition, including 396-173 (69.6%; +18% ROI) since 2018. Since 2010, NHL favorites with two or more days of rest are 304-164 (65%; +2% ROI) versus unrested opponents with revenge, including 102-43 (70.3%; +4.3% ROI) since 2019. Since 2011, conference favorites with two or more days of rest are 359-193 (65%; +4.1% ROI) versus unrested opponents with revenge, including 126-52 (70.8%; +9.1% ROI) since 2019.
Since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1257-2052 (38%; -6.2% ROI), including 268-572 (31.9%; -15.5% ROI) since 2020. Finally, since 2004, .499 or worse underdogs with no rest coming off a road game are 582-1089 (34.8%; -11.2% ROI), including 85-245 (25.8%; -28.7% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average margin of -1.33 goals per game.
Bonus Betting Trends for Tuesday, April 2
- Since 2001, NBA road favorites coming off a win that snapped a two-plus game losing streak are 425-313-13 ATS (57.6%)
- The Washington Wizards are 22-3 to the Over (88%) as double-digit underdogs versus opponents averaging 117 or more points per game since 2007, going over by an average of +14.9 points per game
- Since 2003, .501 or greater road favorites of -165 or less with 2-3 days of rest are 285-157 (64.5%; +12.8% ROI) versus opponents with the same or worse win percentage that missed the playoffs the previous season
- Since 2008, NHL road favorites coming off a game as favorites with a road game on deck are 734-430 (63.1%; +8.3% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents from Game 24 out.
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