Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Saturday, September 20! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Saturday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Wyoming (+12.5) (-110) at Colorado
Report: Since 2010, college football teams with revenge coming off a loss are 66-24-1 ATS (73.3%) in Weeks 2-6 if they won fewer than eight games the previous season, covering the spread by an average margin of +5.8 points per game. Since 1991, unranked college football underdogs averaging 125 or more rushing yards per game are 460-340-23 ATS (57.5%) in games with totals of 47 points or less. Wyoming arrives off its first loss of the season, a 31-6 defeat to Utah, which is significant in that Game 4 underdogs coming off their first loss of the season (and failed to cover the spread) are 58-34-3 ATS (63%) since 1995, including 16-7-1 ATS (69.6%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average margin of +5.1 points per game.
Finally, Wyoming is 28-15 ATS as road underdogs, including 15-5 ATS with a winning record, whereas the Buffaloes have been outgained in each of their first three games, including their 31-7 win over Delaware.
Michigan at Nebraska UNDER 45.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 1990, single-digit favorites or underdogs coming off a game in which they rushed for more than 315 yards are 299-155-10 to the Under (65.9%), provided they are not playing a second consecutive road game. Michigan arrives off a 63-3 win over Central Michigan in which the Wolverines rushed for 390 yards at 7.5 yards per attempt, thereby falling squarely within the foregoing situation. Since 1990, college football road teams priced between -9 and +8.5 in games with totals of less than 56 points are 34-11-2 to the Under (75.6%) following a game in which they scored 61 or more points, including 23-7 UNDER (76.7%) since 2012, going under by an average margin of -6.5 points per game. Since 1989, college football games with teams that are both coming off blowout wins at home are 424-317-23 to the Under (57.2%). This situation contains a very good 58-25-6 (69.9%) subset angle that dates to 1998 and involves games with totals between 40.5 and 52.5 points, covering the total by an average margin of -4.1 points per game.
Finally, since 2005, college football teams coming off a game in which they allowed fewer than six points are 83-57 to the Under (59.3%) in September affairs, including 65-43 UNDER (60.2%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season, going under by an average of -3.3 points per game.
Southern Mississippi at Louisiana Tech UNDER 51.5 points (-110)
Report: The under applies to a very good 299-155-10 (63.9%) college football totals system of mine that invests on the Under in games involving single-digit favorites or underdogs coming off a game in which they rushed for more than 315 yards, provided they are not playing a second consecutive road game. This situation, which has gone under the total by an average margin of -3.2 points since 1990, is triggered by Louisiana Tech, who enters off a 49-14 win over New Mexico State in which the Bulldogs rushed for 353 yards. Since 2001, college football teams coming off a home game in which they had more than 300 rushing yards are 697-509-27 to the Under (57.8%) in non-Friday affairs versus opponents allowing fewer than 225 rushing yards per game, provided one additional parameter is satisfied. Since 1990, .600 or greater college football teams coming off a home win of fourteen or more points are 514-404-22 to the Under (56%) versus .601 or greater opponents entering off a home win by at least two touchdowns.
Finally, since 1995, double-digit favorites with at least six days of rest are 719-526-32 to the Under (57.8%) following a game in which they had over 300 rushing yards versus opponents off a game in which they gained 45 or more yards on the ground.
Louisiana-Monroe (+4.5) (-110) at UTEP
Report: UTEP falls into a very negative 113-194-8 ATS (36.8%) system of mine that dates to 2005 and invests against certain non-conference home favorites of less than five points coming off a road loss. These teams have failed to cover the spread by an average margin of -3.0 points per game. In contrast, Louisiana Monroe applies to a profitable 187-106-5 ATS (63.8%) situation that dates to 1989 and invests on certain unranked road underdogs in games with totals of 44.5 to 69.5 points versus unranked opponents that are not on an extended against-the-spread win streak. This situation is 113-59-3 ATS (65.7%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average of +4.2 points per game. Since 1989, college football teams coming off a game in which they committed three or more turnovers are 199-125-3 ATS (61.4%), provided they have seven or more days of rest.
Finally, since 2009, Sun Belt Conference underdogs are 218-176-11 ATS (55.3%) in Weeks 1-4 of the regular season, including 81-53-2 ATS (60.4%) since 2020.
Oskeim Sports gives free College Football Picks, College Football Predictions, NFL Picks, NFL Predictions, NBA Picks, NBA Predictions, MLB Picks, MLB Predictions, NHL Picks, and NHL Predictions throughout the 2025-26 seasons. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball, and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and college basketball odds, totals, and free picks. Oskeim gives the best daily free picks in the sports handicapping industry.
Join Oskeim Sports today and save 20% on your first purchase at the online store!