Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Saturday’s game between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Saturday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
San Diego Padres (-218) at Colorado Rockies
Report: Since 2006, MLB road favorites of -200 or greater are 746-322 SU (69.9%; +1.2% ROI) and 599-422 RL (58.7%; +1.6% ROI), including 591-275 SU (68.2%) and 451-347 RL (56.5%) versus .449 or worse opponents, winning by an average margin of +2.0 runs per game. San Diego falls into a very good 555-240 SU (69.8%; +1.3% ROI) and 451-309 RL (59.3%; +2.3% ROI) Large Road Favorite System of mine that dates to 2006 and invests on certain favorites of -200 or greater. This situation is 486-203 SU (70.5%; +2% ROI) and 413-276 RL (59.9%; +2.8% ROI) since 2012, winning by an average margin of +2.4 runs per game. Since 2013, divisional road favorites of -160 or greater are 517-232 SU (69%; +5.1% ROI) and 416-331 RL (55.7%; +2.7% ROI) versus opponents with revenge, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB home underdogs coming off a game in which they allowed ten or more runs are 542-816 SU (39.9%; -8.4% ROI) and 632-580 RL (-5.5% ROI), losing by an average of -1.1 runs per game. That situation fits nicely with the fact that the Padres are 15-6 SU (71.4%; +19.8% ROI) and 13-8 RL (61.9%; +17.9% ROI) since June 17, 2019, following a game in which they scored thirteen or more runs.
Since 2007, divisional home underdogs of +150 or greater are 385-802 SU (32.4%; -11.4% ROI) and 531-651 RL (-8.4% ROI), losing by an average of -1.9 runs per game. Finally, since 2007, MLB home underdogs coming off a loss in games that start after 4 p.m. eastern time are just 2214-3124 SU (41.5%; -5.8% ROI) and 2839-2479 RL (-4.9% ROI), including 735-1121 SU (39.6%; -7.3% ROI) and 945-910 RL (-7.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.2 runs per game.
Bonus NBA Playoff Betting Trends for Saturday, May 10
- Since 2003, NBA playoff teams coming off a home loss by four points or fewer are 85-61-2 to the Under (60.1%) versus opponents entering off a road win, provided they are not double-digit underdogs, including 28-9 UNDER (75.7%) since 2019, going under by an average of -7.3 points per game
- NBA playoff road favorites coming off a home loss are 23-5-1 to the Under (82.1%) from Round 2 forward, going under by an average margin of -7.3 points per game
- NBA road favorites of five or more points with revenge for an upset loss as home favorites are 306-208-13 ATS (59.5%), including 141-91-5 ATS (60.8%) since 2016.
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