Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Monday’s game between the Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Monday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals (-228)
Report:The Royals arrive home off an 11-6 win over Baltimore and are now prohibitive favorites in Game 1 against Chicago. The fact that Kansas City has been installed as a large favorite is good news for the home squad as MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2561-972 SU (72.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 1897-1429 RL (57%; +3.0% ROI) since 2007, including 1429-498 SU (74.2%; +3.8% ROI) and 1131-797 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Moreover, since 2005, MLB favorites of -191 or greater in the first game of a series are 1448-612 SU (70.3%; +1.0% ROI) and 1042-841 RL (55.3%; +3.2% ROI), including 746-297 SU (71.5%; +2.1% ROI) and 596-445 RL (57.3%; +3.9% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.1 runs per game. Kansas City hit a franchise-record seven home runs in yesterday’s win over the Orioles, which is significant in that MLB home teams coming off a game in which they hit four or more home runs are 719-511 (58.5%; +2.2% ROI) and +2.6% ROI RL since 2005. Better yet, these teams are 38-14 SU (73.1% ROI; +24.5% ROI) and 31-17 RL (64.6%; +32.2% ROI) following a game in which they hit six or more home runs, winning by an average margin of +2.7 runs per game.
Kansas City is 17-2 SU (89.5%; +29.9% ROI) and 13-6 RL (68.4%; +28.3% ROI) since 2016, as favorites of greater than -190, winning by an average margin of +2.5 runs per game. Finally, Kansas City also applies to a very good 1593-665 SU (70.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 995-879 RL (+3.1% ROI) Home Favorite Run Differential System of mine that is 611-234 SU (72.3%; +4.6% ROI) and 466-375 RL (55.4%; +5% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average margin of +2.1 runs per game.
Bonus NBA Playoff Betting Trends for Monday, May 5
- Since 1999, NBA playoff teams with seven or more days of rest are 22-11 ATS (66.7%) from Round 2 forward, including 9-2 ATS (81.8%) since 2015, covering the spread by an average margin of +8.0 points per game
- Since 1998, NBA playoff favorites of nine points or greater with seven or more wins than their opponent are 141-85-3 ATS (62.4%), including 40-23-2 ATS (63.5%) since 2018.
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