Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Monday’s game between the Seattle Mariners and Chicago White Sox. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Monday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Seattle Mariners (-205) at Chicago White Sox
Report: The fact that the Mariners are large favorites is good news for the home squad as MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2584-981 SU (72.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 1914-1444 RL (57%; +2.9% ROI) since 2007, including 1452-507 SU (74.1%; +3.7% ROI) and 1148-812 RL (58.6%; +2.9% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Historically, large MLB road favorites have performed well in the betting market. Indeed, since 2006, MLB road favorites of -200 or greater are 747-324 SU (69.7%; +1.1% ROI) and 600-424 RL (58.6%; +1.4% ROI), including 592-277 SU (68.1%) and 452-349 RL (56.4%) versus .449 or worse opponents, winning by an average margin of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -191 or greater in the first game of a series are 1458-616 SU (70.3%; +1.0% ROI) and 1050-847 RL (55.4%; +3.1% ROI), including 756-301 SU (71.5%; +2.0% ROI) and 604-451 RL (57.3%; +3.9% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game.
Seattle arrives in Chicago on a three-game winning streak, which is relevant in that non-divisional road favorites coming off three or more consecutive wins are 250-163 SU (60.5%; +4.7% ROI) and +2.4% ROI RL in the first game of a series, including 106-58 SU (64.6%; +8.6% ROI) and 91-72 RL (55.8%; +16.5% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.9 runs per game. Finally, since 2010, American League road favorites of -120 to -220 are 1421-954 SU (59.8%; +1.2% ROI) versus non-division opponents, including 656-428 SU (60.5%; +1.4% ROI) and 523-559 RL (+1.3% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.4 runs per game.
Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Monday, May 19
- Since 2005, MLB teams in Games 1-48 are 34-9 SU (79.1%; +34.2% ROI) and 21-12 RL (63.6%; +21.5% ROI) versus opposing starting pitchers against whom they hit two or more home runs in their previous matchup
- Since 2003, the Los Angeles Dodgers are 142-62 SU (69.6%; +8.2% ROI) and 94-84 RL (+8.1% ROI) in home games with totals of nine or more runs
- Since 2021, the Arizona Diamondbacks are 15-47 SU (24.2%; -44.3% ROI) and 28-34 RL (-21.6% ROI) as road underdogs with starting pitchers who allowed four or more hits in their previous outing.
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