Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Friday’s game between the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Friday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Detroit Tigers (-110) at Toronto Blue Jays
Report: Detroit arrives in Toronto looking to extend a four-game road winning streak, which is significant in that non-divisional road favorites with one day of rest are 545-342 (61.4%; +5.9% ROI) in the opening game of a series, including 265-146 (64.5%; +9.1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +1.7 runs per game. Detroit is riding a three-game winning streak, and rested MLB road favorites coming off back-to-back wins as home favorites are 177-105 (62.8%; +7.6% ROI) since 2005, including 99-42 (70.2%; +18.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. These teams are 111-62 (64.2%; +10.6% ROI) in non-divisional affairs, including 66-22 (75%; +26.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2005, non-divisional road favorites with rest are 631-403 (61%; +5.4% ROI) versus unrested opponents in Game 1 of a series, including 279-149 (65.2%; +10% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.7 runs per game.
Toronto enters off an 8-3 upset loss to the Rays, which is worth mentioning because MLB favorites are 717-469 (60.5%; +5.8% ROI) versus opponents coming off an upset loss as favorites of -150 or greater, including 267-164 (61.9%; +7.7% ROI) since 2018. Finally, since 2010, American League road favorites of -120 to -220 are 1418-949 SU (59.9%; +1.3% ROI) versus non-division opponents, including 653-423 SU (60.7%; +1.7% ROI) and 521-553 RL (+1.6% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +1.4 runs per game.
Bonus NBA Playoff Betting Trends for Friday, May 16
- Since 2005, NBA teams trailing 3-2 in a playoff series are 14-44 SU (24.1%) and 19-38-1 ATS (33.3%) following a Game 5 win, including 2-10 SU and ATS (16.7%) since 2020, losing by an average margin of -14.0 points per game and failing to cover the spread by an average of -11.0 points per game
- Since 2005, NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss are 335-268-8 ATS (55.6%), while favorites coming off a loss are 381-300-11 ATS (55.9%) in Game 2 (or beyond) of a series, including 99-73-2 ATS (57.6%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +2.4 points per game
- Since 2005, NBA playoff favorites are 223-170-5 ATS (56.7%) in games with totals that are at least two points higher than it was in their previous affair, including 83-58-1 ATS (58.9%) since 2016.
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