Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Wednesday’s game between the Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers (-220)
Report: Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same or better record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2477-993 SU (71.4%; +1.3% ROI) and 1608-1344 RL (+1.7% ROI) from Game 40 out, including 906-333 SU (73.1%; +2.4% ROI) and 690-548 RL (55.7%; +1.1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2002, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.30 or better are 1216-638 SU (65.6%; +3.8% ROI) and 760-943 RL (+1% ROI) versus opposing starters whose ERA is 3.50 or better in May-August affairs, winning by an average of +1.1 runs per game.
Boston lost its last two games with right-hander Hunter Dobbins on the mound, which is significant in that MLB road underdogs of greater than +135 in the last game of a series are 387-740 SU (34.3%; -8.1% ROI) and 487-454 RL (-6.5% ROI) if they lost the starting pitchers’ two previous outings, provided they were not underdogs of greater than +180. This situation is 106-236 SU (31%; -16.4% ROI) and 160-182 RL (-14.3% ROI) since 2017, losing by an average of -1.6 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2857-5091 SU (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) and 4057-3472 RL (-2.9% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 845-1678 SU (33.5%; -8.8% ROI) and 1259-1260 RL (-7.2% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game.
Since 2000, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 881-2152 SU (29%; -10.6% ROI) and 1227-1423 RL (-6.5% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 304-843 SU (26.5%; -16.8% ROI) and 498-649 RL (43.4%; -10.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game. Finally, Boston manager Alex Cora is 1-10 SU (9.1%; -84.1% ROI) and 2-9 RL (18.2%; -61.6% ROI) since 2022, in May affairs with starting pitchers who allowed fewer than seven hits in their previous outing, losing by an average of -3.3 runs per game.
Bonus NBA Playoff Betting Trends for Wednesday, May 14
- The Golden State Warriors are 24-3-1 to the Under (88.9%) in postseason play following a loss by five or more points, provided they are not favored by six or more points, going under the total by an average margin of -9.9 points per game
- Since 2021, NBA playoff home teams coming off a Round 2 loss are 30-17 ATS (63.8%) in Round 2 affairs, covering the spread by an average margin of +6.1 points per game.
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