Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Sunday’s game between the Washington Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers (-220)
Report: The fact that the Brewers are large favorites is good news for the home squad as MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2644-995 SU (72.7%; +2.5% ROI) and 1961-1471 RL (57.2%; +3.0% ROI) since 2007, including 1512-521 SU (74.4%; +4.0% ROI) and 1195-839 RL (58.8%; +3.2% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Similarly, large MLB favorites in games with totals of greater than eight runs are 2289-892 SU (72%; +2.9% ROI) and 1798-1375 RL (56.7%; +3.0% ROI), winning by an average margin of +2.1 runs per game. Since 2003, large MLB home favorites that have the same or better record than their opponent over the last ten games are 2538-1018 SU (71.4%; +1.2% ROI) and 1652-1386 RL (+1.4% ROI) from Game 40 out, including 967-358 SU (73%; +2.2% ROI) and 734-590 RL (55.4%; +1% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. The Nationals are coming off three consecutive losses, which is noteworthy in that .490 or worse road underdogs of +142 or greater coming off two or more consecutive losses are 1289-2599 SU (33.2%; -8.1% ROI) and 1718-1564 RL (-2.7% ROI), including 400-831 SU (32.5%; -7.0% ROI) and 622-609 RL (-2.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average margin of -1.5 runs per game.
Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2910-5179 SU (36%; -4.3% ROI) and 4138-3532 RL (-2.8% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 898-1765 SU (33.7%; -8.2% ROI) and 1340-1320 RL (-6.4% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game. Finally, since 2002, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 900-2193 SU (29.1%; -10.4% ROI) and 1255-1455 RL (-6.4% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 323-884 SU (26.8%; -16.1% ROI) and 526-681 RL (-10.3% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game.
Bonus MLB Betting Trends for Sunday, July 13
- Cincinnati right-hander Nick Martinez is coming off an outing in which he allowed ten runs on seven hits over five innings of work, which is significant in that large home favorites with starting pitchers entering off a loss in which they allowed eight or more runs are 644-344 SU (65.2%; +1% ROI) and 483-503 RL (+2% ROI) since 2004, winning by an average margin of +1.5 runs per game.
- Since 2003, MLB road underdogs of +156 or greater coming off a road game in which they scored fewer than nine runs are 489-1064 SU (31.5%; -9.7% ROI) and 627-682 RL (-8.3% ROI) with starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.81 or worse that are coming off back-to-back losses in their previous two outings, losing by an average of -1.7 runs per game.
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