Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Wednesday’s game between the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) (-158)
Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2557-968 SU (72.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 1893-1425 RL (57.1%; +3.0% ROI), including 1425-494 SU (74.3%; +3.9% ROI) and 1127-793 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2844-5074 SU (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) and 4037-3462 RL (-3.0% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 832-1661 SU (33.4%; -9% ROI) and 1239-1250 RL (-7.6% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game. Since 2000, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 878-2138 SU (29.1%; -10.4% ROI) and 1219-1414 RL (-6.5% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 301-829 SU (26.6%; -16.3% ROI) and 490-640 RL (43.4%; -10.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game. Since 2003, .490 or worse underdogs of +142 or greater coming off two or more consecutive losses are 1267-2556 SU (33.1%; -8.2% ROI) and 1684-1533 RL (-2.8% ROI), losing by an average of -1.5 runs per game.
The Dodgers are 59-7 SU (89.4%; +25.7% ROI) and 46-20 RL (69.7%; +28% ROI) since June 3, 2009, as favorites of greater than -190 in the last game of a series, provided one additional parameter is satisfied, winning by an average margin of +3.3 runs per game. Finally, since 2005, MLB underdogs of greater than +200 with starting pitchers coming off a non-quality start are 344-1090 SU (24%; -19.7% ROI) and 539-807 RL (40%; -12.3% ROI), losing by an average of -2.4 runs per game.
Bonus NBA Playoff Betting Trends for Wednesday, April 30
- Since 1997, .551 or greater NBA teams with rest entering off consecutive losses are 270-206-6 ATS (56.7%) in postseason play, including 117-77 ATS (60.3%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +4.1 points per game
- Since 1997, NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back wins are just 213-283-7 ATS (42.9%), including 91-127 ATS (41.7%) since 2015.
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