Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Betting Preview for Wednesday’s game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies. Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (-220)
Report: Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2557-968 SU (72.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 1893-1425 RL (57.1%; +3.0% ROI), including 1425-494 SU (74.3%; +3.9% ROI) and 1127-793 RL (58.7%; +3.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.3 runs per game. Philadelphia applies to a very good 1592-664 SU (70.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 994-878 RL (+3.1% ROI) Home Favorite Run Differential System of mine that is 610-233 SU (72.4%; +4.7% ROI) and 465-374 RL (55.4%; +5% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average margin of +2.1 runs per game. The Phillies are 58-20 SU (74.4%; +16.6% ROI) and 43-35 RL (+6.6% ROI) since August 27, 2021, at home following a game in which they scored seven or more runs. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2844-5074 SU (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) and 4037-3462 RL (-3.0% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 832-1661 SU (33.4%; -9% ROI) and 1239-1250 RL (-7.6% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game.
Since 2000, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 878-2138 SU (29.1%; -10.4% ROI) and 1219-1414 RL (-6.5% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 301-829 SU (26.6%; -16.3% ROI) and 490-640 RL (43.4%; -10.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game. Finally, the Phillies have dominated this series, going 55-22 SU (71.4%; +12.3% ROI) and 42-34 RL (+10.7% ROI) against Washington since the beginning of the 2020 season, winning by an average margin of +2.2 runs per game.
Bonus NBA Playoff Betting Trends for Wednesday, April 30
- Since 1997, .551 or greater NBA teams with rest entering off consecutive losses are 270-206-6 ATS (56.7%) in postseason play, including 117-77 ATS (60.3%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +4.1 points per game
- Since 1997, NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back wins are just 213-283-7 ATS (42.9%), including 91-127 ATS (41.7%) since 2015.
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