Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, March 5! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Missouri at Oklahoma (+5) (-110)
Report: Since 2005, unranked conference home underdogs of less than six points with fewer than five days of rest are 338-237-10 ATS (58.8%) versus ranked opponents with less than four days of rest, including 161-109-4 ATS (59.6%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +2.3 points per game. College basketball home teams averaging 75 or more points per game coming off back-to-back games in which they scored 80 or more points are 141-115-7 ATS (55.1%) versus opponents averaging 75 or more points per game with totals of at least 160 points. Since 2013, college basketball home underdogs coming off a road loss are 155-128-3 ATS (55%) versus opponents entering off an overtime affair.
Finally, college basketball home underdogs of +2 to +5 averaging 65.0 or more points per game are 155-122 ATS (56%) this season versus opponents entering off a game as favorites.
Missouri at Oklahoma UNDER 162 points (-110)
Report: Since 2005, unranked conference home underdogs of less than six points with fewer than five days of rest are 318-252-15 to the Under (55.8%) versus ranked opponents with less than four days of rest, including 231-172-12 (57.3%) since 2016, covering the total by an average of -1.2 points per game. College basketball home teams averaging 75 or more points per game coming off back-to-back games in which they scored 80 or more points are 222-182-3 to the Under (55%) versus opponents averaging 75 or more points per game with totals of at least 160 points.
Finally, since 2015, ranked college basketball teams in games with totals of 160 or more points are 324-279-6 to the Under.
Clemson at Boston College (+15.5) (-110)
Report: Since 2003, ranked college basketball road teams coming off an ATS win or double-digit ATS loss are 884-1283-27 ATS (40.8%), including 254-401-6 ATS (38.8%) since 2021, losing by an average margin of -0.7 points per game and failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -3.3 points per game. Since 2019, college basketball home underdogs in games with totals of less than 140 points are 199-156-8 ATS (56.1%) versus ranked opponents, covering the spread by an average of +2.1 points per game. Since 2019, college basketball home teams priced between -7 to underdogs are 241-194-13 ATS (55.4%) versus ranked opponents with a better win percentage in games with totals of less than 139 points, including 96-64-6 ATS (60%) since 2022, covering the spread by an average margin of +1.7 points per game.
Finally, since 2003, .801 or greater college basketball road teams that have covered at least six of their last eight games are 58-82-2 ATS (41.4%) versus .499 or worse opponents, including 26-53-1 ATS (32.9%) since 2018, failing to cover the spread by an average of -4.1 points per game.
Chicago State (+13.5) (-110) at Long Island
Report: Since 2003, conference tournament teams coming off two or more consecutive losses are 127-87-3 ATS (59.3%) versus opponents entering off two or more consecutive wins, including 68-38-1 ATS (64.2%) since 2018. Since 2003, double-digit conference home favorites in games with totals of 130 points or less are 332-424-16 ATS (43.9%). Finally, since 2003, double-digit home favorites are 345-446-12 ATS (43.6%) versus opponents with a subpar plus/minus margin after the midway point of the regular season, including 172-229-2 ATS (42.9%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season.
Washington Capitals (-118) at New York Rangers
Report: Since 2003, conference road favorites of less than -250 are 2957-1959 (60.2%; +3.5% ROI). Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2454-1654 (59.7%; +3.8% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Since 2002, NHL road favorites of -210 or less coming off a home win and two or more consecutive home games are 438-241 (64.5%; +11.0% ROI) versus opponents with the same or worse win percentage in games with totals of greater than five goals, including 177-87 (67%; +13.4% ROI) since 2020. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -160 or less are 381-204 (65.1%; +15.3% ROI) versus opponents with one or fewer days of rest in non-October affairs, including 192-93 (67.4%; +19.3% ROI) since 2016.
Since 2002, rested road favorites of -150 or less are 339-188 (64.3%; +15.5% ROI) versus opponents playing their third game in the past four days. Finally, since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off three or more consecutive road games are 296-197 (60%; +1.2% ROI) from Game 41 out.
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