
Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, March 26! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Jeff also provides betting trends for the upcoming Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Los Angeles Clippers (-3) (-110) at New York Knicks
Report: Since 2005, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 1611-1334-55 ATS (55%). Since 2003, rested road favorites coming off a home loss are 583-434-20 ATS (57.3%), including 245-167-8 ATS (59.5%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +1.7 points per game. Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 854-674-27 ATS (55.9%) versus opponents entering off a win, including 381-282-10 ATS (57.5%) since 2015. Since 2006, NBA road favorites of -10 or less coming off a SU and ATS loss are 576-437-22 ATS (56.9%) versus opponents entering off an ATS win in games with totals of 238 points or less. Since 2012, rested NBA road favorites of -10 or less coming off a loss are 128-104-4 ATS (55.2%) versus unrested opponents, including 43-32-2 ATS (57.3%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Since 2010, NBA road favorites coming off four consecutive home games are 226-184-14 ATS (55.1%).
Since 1998, Western Conference road favorites are 105-72-2 ATS (59.3%) versus the Knicks, including 59-15 SU (79.7%) and 50-23-1 ATS (68.5%) since 2015, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.2 points per game. Finally, Los Angeles applies to a very good 304-218-9 ATS (58.2%) NBA Low Scoring Road Teams System of mine that dates to 1989 and is 58.8% ATS since 2016.
Toronto Raptors at Brooklyn Nets UNDER 214.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 2001, NBA games between teams that have the lowest total of their last three games in contests with totals of less than 225 points are 1246-921-74 (57.5%), including 565-396-30 (58.8%) since 2015, covering the total by an average margin of -2.5 points per game. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 717-556-41 to the Under (56.3%) with totals of less than 218 points. Since 1995, NBA contests between teams that have combined to average 430 or more points in their last three games are 646-465-26 to the Under (58.1%) with totals of less than 216 points.
Finally, since 1996, NBA teams priced between -2.5 and +2.5 coming off an upset win as underdogs that went under the total are 628-485-37 to the Under (56.4%), including 224-157-13 UNDER (58.8%) since 2016.
Dallas Stars (-150) at Edmonton Oilers
Report: Since 2003, conference road favorites of less than -250 are 2979-1974 (60.1%; +3.5% ROI). Since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2486-1671 (59.8%; +3.9% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents. Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2199-1429 (60.6%; +2.5% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 648-417 (60.8%; +1% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.6 goals per game. Since 2005, NHL road favorites of -140 or greater are 773-398 (66%; +3.5% ROI) versus opponents coming off a win, including 298-160 (65.1%; +1% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL road favorites of less than -200 with same-season revenge are 994-587 (62.9%; +10.2% ROI). Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off a win with a game the next day are 626-415 (60.1%; +3.7% ROI), including 209-113 (64.9%; +6.9% ROI) since 2020. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -210 or less coming off back-to-back unders are 392-242 (61.8%; +6.7% ROI) if they won their last game.
Since 2004, Pacific Division home underdogs are 384-567 (40.4%; -7.9% ROI) versus conference opponents, including 151-260 (36.7%; -14.5% ROI) since 2018. Finally, since 2008, NHL road favorites coming off a game as favorites with a road game on deck are 805-488 (62.3%; +6.5% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents from Game 24 out.
NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Round Betting Trends
- NCAA Tournament No. 1 and 2 seeds are 38-17 SU and 31-23-1 ATS (57.4%) in the Sweet 16 Round over the last ten seasons
- Since 2014, NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Round teams coming off two wins exact are 11-25-1 ATS (30.6%) versus opponents entering off three or more wins, including 3-10 ATS (23.1%) since 2020, failing to cover the spread by an average of -6.3 points per game
- Since 2016, NCAA Tournament games from the Sweet 16 Round forward are 64-43-1 to the Under (59.8%), including 39-23 UNDER (62.9%) since 2020, going under by an average margin of -2.6 points per game
- Since 2016, NCAA Tournament teams coming off an upset win as underdogs in which they covered the spread by double-digits are 51-41-2 to the Under (55.4%), including 34-26 UNDER (56.7%) since 2020.
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