Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, February 12! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Indiana Pacers (-10) (-110) at Washington Wizards
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five or more points are 1648-1358-61 ATS (55%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off three or more consecutive games in which they scored 105 or more points are 670-498-28 ATS (57.4%). Since 2005, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 1591-1307-55 ATS (55%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off two or more consecutive losses are 867-708-27 ATS (55%), including 303-215-5 ATS (58.5%) since 2017. Indiana falls into a profitable 297-174-11 ATS (63.1%) Scoring Margin System of mine that dates to 1989 and invests on certain NBA road favorites. This situation is 185-102-4 ATS (64.5%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.6 points per game. Since 2012, NBA road favorites off a game in which they failed to cover the spread are 563-430-28 ATS (56.7%) versus opponents off an against-the-spread (ATS) win, excluding sub .320 and plus.780 teams.
Indiana applies to a very good 1223-932-41 ATS (56.8%) NBA system of mine that dates to 2001 and invests on road favorites of greater than three points. This situation is 395-280-14 ATS (58.5%) since 2019. Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 826-1040-37 ATS (44.3%) versus .749 or worse opponents.
Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz OVER 236.5 points (-110)
Report: Since 1997, NBA road teams averaging fewer than 113.5 points per game are 594-414-28 to the Over (58.9%) versus opponents averaging less than 113.5 points per game with totals of greater than 224 points, including 508-334-22 OVER (60.3%) since 2016, covering the total by an average margin of +4.1 points per game. Since 2012, .501 or greater road favorites of more than two points that score fewer points per game than the league average are 288-229-21 to the Over (55.7%) from Game 20 out, including 194-139-9 OVER (58.3%) since 2019, going over by an average margin of +2.82 points per game. Since 2015, NBA teams with four or more days of rest before their next game are 260-202-17 to the Over (56.3%), including 149-93-5 OVER (61.6%) since 2020, going over by an average margin of +3.0 points per game. The Over applies to a very good 477-379-32 (55.7%) NBA totals system that dates to 2010 and has covered the total by an average margin of +2.1 points per game.
Finally, since 1997, NBA road favorites of five or more points in games with totals of greater than 210 points coming off a game that went over the total are 278-175-17 to the Over (61.4%), provided the total is greater than the previous game, going over by an average margin of +4.0 points per game.
Mississippi State at South Carolina (+5) (-110)
Report: Since 2005, unranked conference home underdogs of less than six points with fewer than five days of rest are 333-233-10 ATS (58.8%) versus ranked opponents with less than four days of rest, including 156-105-4 ATS (59.8%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +2.3 points per game. Since 2006, college basketball home underdogs of five points or less in games with totals of 140 points are 211-153-9 ATS (58%) versus ranked opponents with more wins, including 113-67-6 ATS (62.8%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.3 points per game. Since 2005, .416 or greater conference home underdogs of less than ten points are 385-280-16 ATS (57.9%) versus opponents that are not ranked in the top 8 nationally, including 171-115-5 ATS (59.8%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +2.1 points per game.
Finally, college basketball home underdogs of +2 to +5 averaging 65.0 or more points per game are 115-92 ATS (55.6%) versus opponents coming off a game as favorites.
Bonus College Basketball Betting Trends for Wednesday, February 12
- Since 2003, ranked college basketball road teams coming off an ATS win or double-digit ATS loss are 863-1260-27 ATS (40.7%), including 233-378-6 ATS (38.1%) since 2021, losing by an average margin of -0.8 points per game and failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -3.3 points per game
- Since 2005, college basketball home underdogs of five points or fewer in games with totals of less than 140 points are 211-153-9 ATS (58%) versus ranked opponents with more wins on the season, including 113-67-6 ATS (62.8%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.3 points per game.
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