Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, January 8! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Wednesday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Toronto Raptors (+11.5) (-110) at New York Knicks
Report: Since 2012, .499 or worse road underdogs coming off a home loss by fifteen or more points are 238-174-9 ATS (57.8%), including 93-58-1 ATS (61.6%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.1 points per game. Since 2007, NBA road teams with revenge arriving off a home loss by 20 or more points are 183-141-3 ATS (56.5%), including 85-51 ATS (62.5%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +3.4 points per game. Since 1996, .400 or worse rested road underdogs of +9.5 to +15 points coming off two or three consecutive ATS losses are 262-185-5 ATS (58.6%). Finally, since 1989, NBA road underdogs allowing 103 or more points per game coming off two or more consecutive games in which they trailed by double-digits at the half are 310-237-5 ATS (56.7%), covering by an average of +2.1 points per game.
Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) (-105) at Chicago Blackhawks
Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2141-1377 (60.9%; +3% ROI) with a road game on deck, including 590-365 (61.8%; +1% ROI) since 2021, winning by an average margin of +0.7 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL favorites coming off a win as home favorites in which they allowed fewer than three goals are 1444-831 (63.5%; +2.7% ROI), including 322-173 (65.1%; +1.1% ROI) since 2020. Since 2004, .501 or greater road favorites of -150 or greater coming off a win are 514-228 (69.3%; +4.8% ROI) versus .499 or worse conference opponents, including 186-75 (71.3%; +5.1% ROI) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Since 2005, NHL road favorites coming off a win with a game the next day are 613-403 (60.3%; +4.1% ROI), including 191-101 (66%; +8.4% ROI) since 2020.
Since 2003, NHL favorites averaging three or more goals allowed per game are 504-335 (60.1%; +1% ROI) following two or more consecutive games in which they allowed two goals or fewer, including 190-111 (63.1%; +2.7% ROI) since 2021.
Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings (-1.5) (+110)
Report: Since 2011, .501 or greater rested favorites are 975-482 (66.9%; +4.8% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 309-117 (72.5%; +9% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.3 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL favorites coming off a win as home favorites in which they allowed fewer than three goals are 1444-831 (63.5%; +2.7% ROI), including 322-173 (65.1%; +1.1% ROI) since 2020. Since 2012, .501 or greater teams with rest are 1011-569 (64%; +4.6% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 335-154 (68.5%; +7.9% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +1.1 goals per game. Since 2011, conference favorites with two or more days of rest are 379-203 (65.1%; +4% ROI) versus unrested opponents with revenge, including 146-62 (70.2%; +7.9% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +1.2 goals per game.
Finally, since 2004, .499 or worse underdogs with no rest coming off a road game are 599-1116 (34.9%; -10.8% ROI) and -7.6% ROI PL, including 102-272 (27.3%; -25.1% ROI) and -12.9% ROI PL since 2020.
Mississippi at Arkansas (-3.5) (-110)
Report: Since 2003, ranked college basketball road teams coming off an ATS win or double-digit ATS loss are 827-1217-27 ATS (40.5%), including 197-335-6 ATS (37%) since 2021, losing by an average margin of -1.0 points per game and failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -3.6 points per game. Since 2010, college basketball favorites with five or fewer days of rest that are either unranked or ranked better than their opponent are 290-143 SU (67%) and 249-180-4 ATS (58%), including 110-45 SU (71%) and 95-58-2 ATS (62.1%) since 2020, winning by an average of +5.2 points per game and covering the spread by an average of +1.8 points per game.
Finally, Arkansas is 80-41 SU (66.1%) and 65-49-1 ATS (57%) since 2013, following a game in which they combined for fifteen or more steals and blocks.
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