Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Thursday, February 13! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Thursday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Miami Heat (-1) (-110) at Dallas Mavericks
Report: Since 2005, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 1591-1308-55 ATS (55%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off two or more consecutive losses are 867-709-27 ATS (55%), including 303-216-5 ATS (58.4%) since 2017. Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 849-659-27 ATS (56.3%) versus opponents entering off a win, including 376-267-10 ATS (58.5%) since 2015. Since 1989, non-conference road favorites coming off three or more consecutive losses are 150-101-4 ATS (59.8%), including 61-36 ATS (62.9%) since 2016. Since 2000, unrested NBA teams that had one day of rest before their previous two games are 202-264-5 ATS (43.3%), provided they have three or more days of rest on deck, including 61-95-1 ATS (39.1%) since 2016.
Finally, the Heat are 262-91 SU (74.2%) and 194-150-9 ATS (56.4%) since 2008, as favorites coming off a loss, including 70-46-3 ATS (60.3%) since 2019.
Sacramento Kings (-8.5) (-110) at New Orleans Pelicans
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five or more points are 1651-1361-61 ATS (55%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off three or more consecutive games in which they scored 105 or more points are 672-501-28 ATS (57.3%). Since 1989, NBA teams coming off a game that went under the total are 316-218-13 ATS (59.2%) versus opponents on four-plus game losing streaks if their most recent loss was at home. Since 2000, unrested NBA teams that had one day of rest before their previous two games are 202-264-5 ATS (43.3%), provided they have three or more days of rest on deck, including 61-95-1 ATS (39.1%) since 2016. The Pelicans are 13-33-1 ATS (28.3%) since December 1, 2016, at home following a game in which they shot less than 26% from three-point territory, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -4.4 points per game.
Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 829-1042-37 ATS (44.3%) versus .749 or worse opponents.
Maryland at Nebraska (-1.5) (-110)
Report: Since 2003, ranked college basketball road teams coming off an ATS win or double-digit ATS loss are 863-1261-27 ATS (40.6%), including 233-379-6 ATS (38.1%) since 2021, losing by an average margin of -0.8 points per game and failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -3.3 points per game. Since 2003, unranked conference home teams priced between -2.5 and +2.5 are 270-214-4 ATS (55.8%) versus ranked opponents, including 230-172-2 ATS (57.2%) since 2015. Since 2018, college basketball home favorites (or pick) coming off three consecutive games in which they scored 75 or more points are 233-178-8 ATS (56.7%) versus opponents entering off a game in which they scored 85 or more points, including 141-97-2 ATS (59.2%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Maryland applies to a negative 395-481 ATS (45%) system that invests against teams averaging 79.6+ points per game following a game as favorites of greater than three points.
Finally, Nebraska is 20-13 ATS in its last 33 games, whereas the Terrapins are 4-7 ATS in their last eleven road affairs.
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