Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Sunday, March 31! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with valuable information on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5) (-110) at Brooklyn Nets
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1544-1251-56 ATS (55.2%), including 686-546-28 ATS (55.7%) since 2018. Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 811-635-27 ATS (56.1%) versus opponents entering off a win, including 338-243-10 ATS (58.2%) since 2015. Since 1989, NBA non-conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 689-545-26 ATS (55.8%), including 139-87-4 ATS (61.5%) since 2020. Since 1989, Western Conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 457-321-16 ATS (58.7%) versus non-conference foes, including 80-44-3 ATS (64.5%) since 2020.
Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 points with revenge are 195-149-7 ATS (56.7%) versus opponents coming off a home win, including 88-56-3 ATS (61.1%) since 2016. Finally, since 2006, NBA home underdogs of greater than four points coming off a game in which 200 or more points were scored are 795-1038-37 ATS (43.4%) versus .749 or worse opponents.
Los Angeles Clippers (-15) (-110) at Charlotte Hornets
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1544-1251-56 ATS (55.2%), including 686-546-28 ATS (55.7%) since 2018. Los Angeles falls into very strong 268-189-9 ATS (58.6%) and 229-160-10 ATS (58.9%) statistical profile indicators of mine that date to 1996 and are predicated turnovers. These situations are 122-73-1 ATS (62.6%) and 96-57-1 ATS (62.7%), respectively, since 2017. Since 2005, double-digit road favorites are 294-229-13 ATS (56.2%), including 168-117-5 ATS (58.9%) since 2017. Since 1989, NBA non-conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 689-545-26 ATS (55.8%), including 139-87-4 ATS (61.5%) since 2020. Since 1989, Western Conference road teams priced between -3 and +10 with ATS revenge are 457-321-16 ATS (58.7%) versus non-conference foes, including 80-44-3 ATS (64.5%) since 2020.
Finally, since 1995, non-conference road favorites of -6.5 or more that are averaging 10-plus three-pointers per game and allowing fewer points per game than the league average are 50-16 ATS (75.8%) versus opponents entering off a loss as underdogs provided they have the same or worse win percentage. These road warriors are 45-11 ATS (80.4%) since 2018, winning by an average of +14.95 points per game and covering the spread by an average of +5.61 points per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder at New York Knicks UNDER 214 points (-110)
Report: Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 1118-891-70 to the Under (55.6%) with totals of less than 223 points. Since 2004, NBA contests between teams whose season game totals combine to average 437 or more points are 588-423-36 to the Under (58.1%) with totals of less than 218 points. Since 1995, NBA games with totals of less than 216 points are 562-399-25 to the Under (58.5%) if both teams have combined to average at least 430 points in their last three games, going under by an average of 2.7 points per game.
Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks (-2.5) (+102)
Report: Since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1255-2050 (38%; -6.2% ROI), including 266-570 (31.8%; -15.6% ROI) since 2020. Since 2004, .499 or worse underdogs with no rest coming off a road game are 582-1088 (34.9%; -11.1% ROI), including 85-244 (25.8%; -28.5% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average margin of -1.33 goals per game. Since 2004, NHL road underdogs of +200 or greater coming off a loss are 295-869 (25.3%; -11.7% ROI), including 100-326 (23.5%; -15.9% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.62 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL road teams playing their third game in four days are 1332-1748 (43.2%; -3.7% ROI).
Since 2009, NHL home favorites of -155 or greater are 431-204 (67.9%) in March affairs, including 155-58 (72.8%; +5% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +1.34 goals per game. Since 2014, .600 or greater favorites of -170 or greater are 531-239 (69%) from Game 41 out, including 320-134 (70.5%) since 2020, winning by an average of +1.25 goals per game. Finally, since 2004, .450 or greater teams with two days of rest are 503-305 (62.3%; +3.7% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 303-164 (64.9%; +2% ROI) as favorites with two or more days of rest versus opponents with revenge.
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