Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Sunday, March 2! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5) (-105) at Utah Jazz
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five or more points are 1658-1373-61 ATS (55%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of five or more points coming off three or more consecutive games in which they scored 105 or more points are 676-508-28 ATS (57.1%). Since 1999, .360 or worse NBA road favorites are 263-195-9 ATS (57.4%), including 94-58-3 ATS (61.8%) since 2018. Since 2005, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 1596-1316-55 ATS (55%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites coming off a loss are 851-663-27 ATS (56.2%) versus opponents entering off a win, including 378-271-10 ATS (58.2%) since 2015. Since 1989, .599 or worse road favorites of greater than three points are 662-494-28 ATS (57.3%) after the All-Star break, including 171-99-5 ATS (63.3%) since 2020.
Finally, since 1989, NBA home teams coming off a game in which they allowed seventeen or more three-pointers are 106-134-7 ATS (44.2%).
Oklahoma City Thunder (-13.5) (-110) at San Antonio Spurs
Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five or more points are 1658-1373-61 ATS (55%). Since 2005, double-digit road favorites are 331-270-14 ATS (55.1%). Since 1998, double-digit road favorites with a non-division game on deck are 162-90-5 ATS (64.3%) after the All-Star break, including 102-54-2 ATS (65.4%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.8 points per game. Oklahoma City falls into a profitable 299-179-11 ATS (62.6%) Road Favorite Scoring Margin System of mine that dates to 1989 and is 187-107-4 ATS (63.6%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average of +3.4 points per game. Since 1989, NBA underdogs of less than seven points from Game 11 out are 233-137-8 ATS (63%) versus unrested opponents entering off a win by four points or less, including 71-35-3 ATS (67%) since 2015, covering the spread by an average of +5.1 points per game.
Finally, Oklahoma City applies to a very good 1229-942-41 ATS (56.6%) NBA system of mine that dates to 2001 and invests on road favorites of greater than three points. This situation is 401-290-14 ATS (58.0%) since 2019.
Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes (-265)
Report: Since 2003, NHL home favorites of greater than -165 are 794-335 (70.3%; +3.1% ROI) versus road teams coming off a road affair playing their third game in four days, including 320-121 (72.6%; +4.6% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +1.3 goals per game. Since 2004, NHL home favorites are 220-101 (68.5%; +5.4% ROI) versus opponents in poor offensive form, including 57-22 (72.2%; +9.7% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +1.6 goals per game. Since 2004, NHL road underdogs of +200 or more coming off a loss are 309-919 (25.2%; -12.2% ROI), losing by an average margin of -1.4 goals per game.
Finally, since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1334-2177 (38%; -6% ROI) and -4.0% ROI PL, including 345-697 (33.1%; -13.1% ROI) and -7.1% PL since 2020. Take Carolina and invest with confidence.
Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild (-145)
Report: Since 2011, NHL favorites of less than -200 are 1459-902 (61.8%; +4.1% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 413-221 (65.1%; +9.7% ROI) since 2020. Since 2011, .501 or greater rested favorites are 992-493 (66.8%; +4.6% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 326-128 (71.8%; +7.9% ROI) since 2020. Since 2002, NHL home favorites coming off three or more consecutive losses are 987-656 (60.1%). Since 2003, unrested NHL underdogs coming off a road game in which they had fewer shots on goal are 55-116 (32.2%; -16.3% ROI).
Finally, since 2003, NHL road teams playing their third game in four days are 1382-1817 (43.2%; -4.0% ROI).
Bonus College Basketball Betting Trends for Sunday, March 2
- Since 2020, ranked college basketball home teams are 198-164-4 ATS (55%) versus ranked opponents
- Since 2015, ranked college basketball home favorites of five points or less are 328-163 SU (66.8%) and 263-213-15 ATS (55.3%), including 133-59 SU (69.3%) and 111-78-3 ATS (58.7%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season
- Since 2004, college basketball teams that have failed to cover the spread by a combined 40 or more points in their last five games are 231-194-6 ATS (55%) versus opponents that have gone under the posted total by 48 or more combined points in their last ten games.
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