Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Sunday, January 5! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Sunday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 45 points (-110)
Report: Since 2013, NFL teams averaging six or more yards per play are 458-361-23 to the Under (55.9%) from Week 5 forward. Since 1990, .400 to .600 NFL teams in the final two weeks of the regular season are 155-125-5 to the Under (55.4%) versus opponents with a win percentage between .250 and .450, including 66-42-4 UNDER (61.1%) since 2013, going under by an average of -2.3 points per game. Since 1990, double-digit division favorites are 176-135-6 to the Under (56.6%) from Week 9 out. Since 2009, double-digit underdogs coming off a loss are 193-157-3 to the Under (55.1%), including 119-89-3 UNDER (57.2%) since 2015. Since 2007, early afternoon divisional games are 175-138-7 to the Under (55.9%) from Week 13 forward.
Finally, since 1989, divisional home favorites in games with totals of 44 or more points are 225-154-4 to the Under (59.4%) versus opponents that allowed fewer than 32 points in their last game, going under by an average of -2.1 points per game.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans UNDER 37 points (-110)
Report: Since 1989, NFL games with wind speeds of greater than 8 mph and temperatures of at least 30 degrees are 932-733-38 to the Under (56%), including 440-302-16 UNDER (59.3%) since 2018, covering the total by an average margin of -1.6 points per game. Since 2012, .501 or greater teams coming off a loss in which they scored fewer than fourteen points are 125-95-7 to the Under (56.8%), including 76-50-5 UNDER (60.3%) since 2017, going under by an average of -2.0 points per game. Since 2003, NFL teams coming off five or more consecutive ATS losses are 106-82-1 to the Under (56.4%), including 40-24 UNDER (62.5%) since 2018, going under by an average of -3.0 points per game. Since 2009, NFL teams coming off five or more consecutive straight-up losses that won six or fewer games the previous season are 98-81-2 to the Under (55%), including 42-30-2 UNDER (58.3%) since 2019. Since 2013, NFL road underdogs coming off a double-digit loss in which they had more rushing yards than penalty yards are 107-89-2 to the Under (55%).
Since 2010, NFL teams coming off a loss by 20 or more points are 371-288-14 to the Under (56.3%). Since 2011, NFL games with totals of less than 38 points are 77-53-2 to the Under (59.2%), including 52-33-1 UNDER (61.2%) since 2017. Finally, since 2011, NFL division games with totals of less than 38 points are 62-36-2 ATS (63.3%), including 40-20 UNDER (66.7%) since 2019, going under by an average of -3.2 points per game.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44 points (-110)
Report: Since 1991, NFL teams coming off an upset road loss by ten or more points are 195-118-5 to the Under (62.3%) from Week 4 out, including 63-27 UNDER (70%) since 2016, covering the total by an average margin of -3.7 points per game. Since 2004, NFL home teams coming off a double-digit loss as favorites are 143-100-4 to the Under (58.8%), including 63-37 UNDER (63%) since 2016, going under by an average of -2.3 points per game. Since 2008, NFL teams that have allowed 100 or more combined points in their last three games are 195-129-7 to the Under (60.2%), including 63-38 UNDER (62.4%) since 2020, going under by an average margin of -3.1 points per game. Since 2017, NFL teams coming off a game in which they allowed 40 or more points are 123-92-4 to the Under (57.2%). Since 2017, NFL road underdogs allowing 24 or more points per game in December/January affairs are 91-70-4 to the Under (56.5%). Since 2007, early afternoon divisional games are 175-138-7 to the Under (55.9%) from Week 13 forward.
Finally, since 1990, .400 to .600 NFL teams in the final two weeks of the regular season are 155-125-5 to the Under (55.4%) versus opponents with a win percentage between .250 and .450, including 66-42-4 UNDER (61.1%) since 2013, going under by an average margin of -2.3 points per game.
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