Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Monday, March 10! Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers give bettors winning free picks on Monday’s games. Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!
Coastal Athletic Conference Tournament – Semi-Finals
UNC-Wilmington (-3.5) (-110) vs. College of Charleston
Report: Since 2004, conference tournament favorites of less than five points are 736-610-25 ATS (55%), including 309-240-6 ATS (56.3%) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Since 2004, college basketball teams priced between -3.5 and +3.5 coming off three consecutive games in which they led by five or more points at the half are 144-111-4 ATS (56.5%) versus opponents entering off three straight games in which they scored at least 75 points. Since 2006, Colonial Athletic Conference teams are 117-98-6 ATS (55%) versus opponents with revenge in games with spreads of -10 to +10 and totals of 145 to 150 points, including 81-59-6 ATS (57.9%) since 2018.
Since 2015, Colonial Athletic Association tournament favorites of less than five points are 27-20-4 ATS (57.4%). Finally, since 2004, college basketball games with teams coming off back-to-back overtime affairs are 237-201-1 to the Under.
Sun Belt Conference Tournament Championship Game
Arkansas State (-1.5) (-110) vs. Troy
Report: Since 2004, conference tournament favorites of less than five points are 736-610-25 ATS (55%), including 309-240-6 ATS (56.3%) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Since 2016, Sun Belt Conference tournament favorites of less than five points are 30-17-1 ATS (63.8%), covering the spread by an average margin of +2.2 points per game. These games are also 29-18-1 to the Under (61.7%) since 2016, going under by an average of -4.1 points per game.
Big Sky Conference Tournament – Third Round
Montana State vs. Idaho State (-1.5) (-110)
Report: Since 2004, conference tournament favorites of less than five points are 736-610-25 ATS (55%), including 309-240-6 ATS (56.3%) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Since 2005, single-digit favorites in the Big Sky Conference tournament are 72-18 SU (80%) and 54-35-1 ATS (60.7%), winning by an average margin of 6.2 points per game. Since 2016, Big Sky Conference tournament games with totals of 140 points or less are 20-7 to the Under (74.1%).
However, since 2005, single-digit favorites in the conference tournament are 50-40 to the Over (55.6%), including 29-19 OVER (60.4%) since 2018. Finally, Idaho State is 116-69-3 to the Over (62.7%) since 2007, coming off a game with a scoring margin of less than six points and an ATS margin of less than five points, including 47-23 OVER (67.1%) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season, going over by an average of +3.3 points per game.
Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors (-6.5) (-110)
Report: Since 1997, NBA teams with the shortest line of the season are 567-443-17 ATS (56.1%) from Game 41 out, including 226-149-7 ATS (60.3%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.6 points per game. Since 2012, non-division favorites with revenge for a loss as home favorites are 242-154-5 ATS (61.1%) if one additional parameter is satisfied, including 143-63-2 ATS (69.4%) since 2019, winning by an average of +10.8 points per game and covering the spread by an average of +3.6 points per game. Since 1989, NBA favorites with immediate revenge for an upset loss as favorites are 61-29-1 ATS (67.8%) from Game 31 forward, including 32-14 ATS (69.6%) since 2018, covering the spread by an average of +3.0 points per game. This situation improves to 34-9-1 ATS (79.1%) since 1989 with favorites of -4.5 to -10 points and totals of 240 points or less, including 17-4 ATS (81%) since 2016, winning by an average of +11.1 points per game and covering by an average of +4.5 points per game.
Finally, since 2010, single-digit underdogs or favorites coming off a home loss by four or less points are 236-172-7 ATS (57.8%) opponents entering off a road win, including 99-66-2 ATS (60%) since 2019, covering the spread by an average of +4.1 points per game.
Bonus NBA Betting Trends for Monday, March 10
- Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -2 to -10 coming off a loss by eighteen points or less are 818-618-28 ATS (57%) in games with totals of 198 to 227.5 points
- Since 1989, rested NBA road favorites are 428-327-11 ATS (56.7%) versus unrested opponents from Game 28 out
- Since 2004, NBA road favorites coming off back-to-back SU and ATS losses are 255-168-10 ATS (60.3%), provided the most recent loss was as road favorites, including 137-78-4 ATS (63.7%) since 2016, covering the spread by an average margin of +3.1 points per game.
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