This game has blowout written all over it as Pepperdine is 1-11 SU and 4-8 ATS on the road this season where it’s allowing 83.2 points per game on 48.8% shooting from the field and 43.5% from beyond the arc.
The Waves’ defense is 4.7 points per game worse than average overall (80.3 points per game to teams that would combine to average just 75.6 points per game). Teams making 48.1% of their field goal attempts and 41.5% of their three-pointers against Pepperdine.
The Dons are 9-3 SU at home this season where they are averaging 77.9 points per game on 48,6% shooting from the floor and 37.9% from beyond the arc. San Francisco has won four of its last five games and has successfully covered the point spread in six of its last seven games overall.
After suffering a disheartening 66-46 loss at St. Mary’s on January 26, the Dons bounced back with a vengeance, defeating Pacific by 21 points on the road (81-60).
That win brings us to the fact that San Francisco is a profitable 12-4 ATS in its last sixteen games following a win by 20+ points, 4-1 ATS in its last five games versus .399 or worse opposition, 6-1 ATS in its last seven West Coast Conference affairs and 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a favorite.
In other words, the Dons enjoy beating up inferior competition, especially those residing in the West Coast Conference. Meanwhile, Pepperdine is a woeful 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games, 3-10 ATS in its last 13 road games and 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games versus .501 or greater opposition, including 1-6 ATS against .601 or greater foes.
With San Francisco standing at 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series, take the Dons minus the points as Oskeim Sports’ Free Sports Pick out of the West Coast Conference on Thursday, February 2.
Oskeim Sports’ West Coast Conference Sports Pick: San Francisco (-10)