Week Six College Football Betting Report

Oct 4, 2013

Pro Edge Sports has been analyzing the sports betting market throughout the week to determine where the professional sports bettors were putting their money.  Our team of experts have already moved on three college football games, and below you will find other games that professional sports bettors and betting syndicates alike have wagered on.  We hope you enjoy our week six college football betting report:

College Football Sides Favored by the Sharps:

  • Illinois  (Angle: Nebraska is 2-5 ATS following a bye week and 1-6 ATS in a third consecutive home game)  
  • SMU  (Angle: SMU head coach June Jones is 22-12 ATS as a home underdog vs. a foe off a win, including 11-1 ATS as an underdog of less than 7 points)
  • Indiana  (Angle: Penn State is 1-14 ATS in its first conference game of the season, including 0-11 ATS following a win)
  • Virginia Tech  (Angle: Head coach Frank Beamer is 39-20-2 ATS with revenge, including 15-4 ATS at home against conference opponents)
  • Florida  (Angle: Florida is 7-1 ATS in the L/8 in this series, while the Razorbacks are 1-6 ATS as double-digit underdogs)
  • Miami Florida  (Angle: Miami head coach Al Golden is 14-1-1 ATS at home versus conference foes when favored by less then seven points)
  • New Mexico  (Angle: New Mexico head coach Bob Davie is 3-0 ATS as a home favorite versus teams off back-to-back losses)
  • Missouri  (Angle: Missouri head coach Gary Pinkel is 41-8-1 SU in games where his team is undefeated and the opponent has at least one loss)
  • Baylor  (Angle: Conference underdogs of 14+ points, off an upset win as an underdog of 14+ points, are 0-18 SU & 3-14-1 ATS vs. an opponent with a win percentage of .833 or greater)
  • Stanford  (Angle: Stanford head coach David Shaw is 21-4 SU and 19-5-1 ATS off a win, including 5-1 ATS versus an unbeaten opponent)
  • Idaho  (Angle: Vandals are 13-8 ATS off a win, including a perfect 3-0 ATS as underdogs of 24 or more points)

Interestingly, the betting public also likes several of the games listed above, including Baylor, Florida, Miami Florida and Stanford.  The latter fact raises one of the biggest betting misconceptions in the industry, which is that the public and professionals can never be on the same side of a game.  What separates the two types of sports bettors (public vs. professional) is the fact that the professional will always get the best number and, by doing so, routinely beat the closing line.

Pro Edge has become one of the most respected and influential sports handicapping services because it routinely beats the closing line, thereby providing its clients with positive Expected Value (+EV).  ”Expected Value” is simply the average result a bettor would expect from a particular event if that event was repeated an infinite number of times. The more +EV picks that are made by a sports investor, the more success that bettor will have in the long run.  One of the best ways to determine whether a handicapper and/or service maintains an edge over the bookmakers is whether they beat the closing line.