Week One College Football Best Bet: Oklahoma State (-12)

Aug 27, 2013

Mississippi State head coach Dan Mullen has done a terrific job in Starkville as evidenced by the fact that he has guided the Bulldogs to three consecutive winning seasons and three straight bowl games. Unfortunately, Mullen’s hands are tied this season with just twelve returning starters (24 lettermen lost; most in the SEC), including just five on the defensive side of the ball.  In contrast, Oklahoma State takes the field with fifteen returning starters and one of the most explosive offenses in the nation.  This game has mismatch written all over it, which is why Pro Edge members were encouraged to wager on the Cowboys at the opening line of -11.5 earlier this month.  Despite the line move (Oklahoma State currently listed at -12 to -12.5 at most off shore outlets), we believe laying the points with the Cowboys in Week One presents a solid investment opportunity and could remain a college football best bet from Pro Edge Sports Picks.


The Negatives Facing Mississippi State in 2013:

  • Only 12 returning starters, including just five on defense
  • Positive variance influenced last year’s results with a +16 turnover margin (5th best in college football); only lost 4 starts to injury last year (second fewest in the nation)
  • A depleted secondary that lost three starters, including two to the NFL
  • A depleted wide receiving corp. that loses its top four performers from 2012
  • The loss of linebacker Cameron Lawrence, who led the team in tackles (120) and tackles for a loss, leaves a huge void on defense
  • In June, the NCAA placed Mississippi State’s football program on probation
  • A significantly more difficult schedule that includes South Carolina, Alabama and Oklahoma State

Pro Edge Sports Picks Week One College Football Best Bet:

Oklahoma State (-12) (-110) over Mississippi State