Wednesday’s Free Sports Pick: Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays

Jul 3, 2013

Detroit Tigers (-118) over Toronto Blue Jays

Analysis: Detroit right-hander Max Scherzer remains one of the best pitchers in baseball as he is a perfect 12-0 with a 3.10 ERA and 0.89 WHIP this season. Moreover, Scherzer has garnered a 2.08 ERA and 0.69 WHIP on the road, a 2.85 ERA and 0.84 WHIP at night and a 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last three starts. Scherzer’s elite command and control are illustrated by his phenomenal 131/25 K/BB ratio in 110.3 innings pitched this season, including a 63/10 K/BB ratio in 52 innings on the road and a 102/15 K/BB ratio in 85.3 innings of work at night. Let’s also note that Scherzer is a perfect 3-0 with a career 1.59 ERA and 1.11 WHIP versus the Blue Jays, including limiting Toronto to a combined three earned runs in his last 21 innings pitched (3 starts). I also like the fact that Scherzer is supported by a solid Detroit bullpen that owns a 3.74 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road and a 3.23 ERA and 1.18 WHIP at night in 2013.

Meanwhile, Toronto starter Josh Johnson is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.59 WHIP this season and takes the mound in terrible form after allowing nine earned runs on 15 hits over his last two outings (9.3 IP; 9 ER; 15 H). And, the last time Johnson faced the Tigers (April 13) he allowed 6 earned runs on seven hits in just 1 1/3-innings of work. Johnson now faces an explosive Detroit lineup that is averaging 5.0 runs per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game at night (.350 OBP). From a technical standpoint, Scherzer is a profitable 38-13 (+19.2 units) versus teams batting .265 or worse, 13-3 (+9.7 units) on the road versus opponents averaging less than 4.8 runs per game and 26-9 (+13.2 units) with a total between 8.5 and 10 runs. Take Detroit and invest with confidence.

Click the link below to see my Blog article dated June 5th wherein I projected Max Scherzer as a darkhorse Cy Young candidate:


I am a profitable 224-167-5 (57.3%) on my free sports picks after Tuesday’s winner on the Cleveland Indians. Assuming you risked 1 unit per selection, a $500 sports investor would be up over $16,400 since June 7, 2007.

Max Scherzer Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers