Finally, the home team is an incredible 17-3 SU and 8-1 ATS in this series, and the last three times the Demon Deacons traveled to Raleigh they suffered losses by 35, 31 and 29 points. North Carolina State is 2-1 SU and ATS on the season and is coming off a bye, which is significant in that the Wolfpack are 23-4 ATS in games with added rest since 2002, including 18-2 ATS in conference play.
North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren is a perfect 5-0 ATS in his coaching career with rest versus teams off a win. The Wolfpack are 0.9 yards per play better than average offensively (6.7 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yards per play) and 0.6 yards per play better than average defensively (5.1 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yards per play).
The Wolfpack run and throw the ball equally well and should have success against an overrated Wake Forest stop unit that is just 0.2 yards per play better than average. The Demon Deacons are also yielding 490 total yards at 6.2 yards per play on the road this season where they are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 62.1% of their pass attempts.
Finally, Wake Forest’s 33-28 upset win over Indiana last week was one of the most misleading results you’ll find as the Demon Deacons were outgained 611-352 and benefited from five interceptions, including a pick-6. In short, Wake Forest was completely dominated from the line of scrimmage by the Hoosiers and were extremely lucky to escape with a win.
With North Carolina State standing at 9-2 ATS as a favorite and fresh off a bye (Wake playing its third road game in 4 weeks), lay the points with the Wolfpack as Oskeim Sports’ Free Pick for Saturday, October 1!