Seattle Mariners (-148) over New York Yankees
Investment Advice: Please list both David Phelps and Felix Hernandez
Analysis: Seattle right-hander Felix Hernandez is once again displaying elite skills this season as evidenced by his 2.58 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, including garnering impressive 95/17 K/BB ratio in 90.7 innings of work. Hernandez has been simply dominant over his last three starts wherein he has compiled 23 strikeouts over 21 innings pitched. And, I expect King Felix to continue his masterful 2013 campaign versus New York against whom he is 8-5 with a career 2.99 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, including limiting the Yankees to two runs or less in each of his last three outings. Hernandez is also supported by a Seattle bullpen that saves its best for the home faithful as the Mariners’ relief staff owns a solid 3.29 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 104 innings pitched at home this season (117 strikeouts).
New York takes the field with an anemic offense that is batting just .245 with a .301 on base percentage this season (4.0 runs per game), including hitting .240 with a .288 on base percentage on the road, .245 with a .296 on base percentage in day games and .228 with a .290 on base percentage over the last seven games. Meanwhile, New York starter David Phelps takes the mound with a pedestrian 4.15 ERA and 1.29 WHIP this season, including a 5.14 ERA over his last three outings. Moreover, the once solid New York bullpen has imploded recently with a 4.96 ERA over the last ten days.
From a technical standpoint, Hernandez is 27-10 (+15.6 units) in the month of June and 37-26 (+8.1 units) versus A.L. East opponents, while the Mariners have won eight of their last eleven games against New York with Hernandez toeing the rubber. Seattle also applies to 66-21 and 86-29 systems of mine that invest on certain starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.00 or less, provided they are matched up against an opposing pitcher who owns a WHIP exceeding 1.25. Finally, today’s home plate umpire, Mike Muchlinski, represents a 68.1% winning proposition for home teams in his career, including a 67% win rate over the last three seasons and a 72.7% winning investment this year. Take Seattle behind one of the best pitchers in baseball and invest with confidence.