Saturday’s Free Sports Pick from Oskeim Sports – June 15, 2013

Jun 15, 2013

New York Yankees (+108) over Los Angeles Angels

Investment Advice: Please list both David Phelps and Tommy Hanson

Analysis: Having a defined role has certainly benefited New York right-hander David Phelps as he is 3-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in eight starts this season. While Phelps has been an unheralded prospect out of the Yankees’ farm system, he has demonstrated a solid skill set this season that makes him a must start against a scuffling Angels’ squad. Indeed, after a disappointing outing against the Mets on May 29 (4 ER; 0.3 IP), Phelps has bounced back by going 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in his past twelve frames (13 strikeouts). Let’s also note that Phelps has garnered a 2.73 ERA and 0.94 WHIP on the road and a 1.37 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in three day games in 2013. Phelps is also supported by a very good New York bullpen that owns a 3.26 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, including a 2.63 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the road and a 1.61 ERA over its last seven games.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles starter Tommy Hanson has been underwhelming to say the least as evidenced by his pedestrian 4.12 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season. Hanson also owns a 4.84 ERA and 1.70 WHIP at home, a 4.50 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in day games and a 4.96 ERA and 1.77 WHIP over his last three starts. Hanson is also plagued by a poor Los Angeles relief staff that owns a 4.64 ERA at home and a 4.34 ERA over the last seven games. From a technical standpoint, New York is a profitable 26-13 (+13.7 units) in road day games and 50-29 (+17.6 units) following three or more consecutive road games, whereas the Angels are a money-burning 12-19 (-12.2 units) as favorites of -150 or less and 21-29 (-16.7 units) versus right-handed starters. Take New York at a very good price and invest with confidence.


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David Phelps #41 of the New York Yankees delivers a pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium on May 18, 2013  in the Bronx borough of New York City.