888-631-6459info@oskeimsportspicks.com • The best investment you will ever make!   
BREAKING NEWS: Landmark Supreme Court Decision Says States Can Allow Sports Betting

Robbie Ray Squares Off Against Zachary Davies on Thursday

robbie ray, robbie ray pitching stats, robbie ray betting stats

Milwaukee right-hander Zachary Davies is having a solid 2016 campaign, posting a 3.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 17 starts. The 23-year-old has been particularly effective at home as evidenced by his 3.56 ERA, 3.78 xFIP and 22.8% strikeout rate (8.22 K/9).

Davies also toes the rubber in excellent form with a 1.35 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 2.39 FIP in July (20.0 IP), together with an elite 4.1% walk rate (1.35 BB/9).

Davies possesses excellent command of his sinker and plus changeup, both of which have allowed him to post above-average exit velocity on balls in play. He is also throwing his cutter, four-seam and changeup more, which has also contributed to his vastly improved exit velocity suppression. Let’s also note that Davies owns a 2.84 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP since the outset of May.

Arizona southpaw Robbie Ray is also enjoying a solid season with a 3.55 FIP, 3.73 xFIP and a 3.65 SIERA, together with an elite 26.8% strikeout rate (10.87 K/9). Ray has really excelled away from the hitter-friendly confines of Chase Field, posting a 3.86 ERA (5.17 ERA at home) with a 29.3% strikeout rate (11.91 K/9) in 53.2 innings pitched.

The month of July has been even better for Ray wherein he has garnered a 31.1% K% (12.52 K/9) with a 2.92 FIP and a 3.31 xFIP. Ray’s surface numbers are being held back by an unsustainable .362 BABIP, including a .379 BABIP in July. The talented lefty has been incredibly unlucky with balls in play, and I expect a breakout second half for Robbie Ray once the inevitable BABIP regression takes place.

From a technical standpoint, the UNDER is 13-5-1 in Robbie Ray’s last 19 road starts and 8-2 in the Diamondbacks’ last 11 road games versus teams with a winning home record. The UNDER is also 5-0 in Milwaukee’s last five home games versus left-handed starters and 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in this series.

Oskeim Sports’ Free MLB Pick for Thursday, July 28: Arizona/Milwaukee UNDER 9 runs (-125)