While the vast majority of sports bettors like to wager on games that are on television, the experts at Pro Edge Sports believe the true value rests with those games that receive little national attention. With that in mind, lets take a look at one college football game in particular that we believe is flying under-the-radar and offers sports investors excellent value.
Texas State (-16) (-110) over Georgia State
While Georgia State is 0-6 this season, the Panthers have covered four consecutive point spreads, including last week’s near upset over Troy. However, the Panthers arrive in town with a terrible offense that is averaging 16.5 points per game on 2.8 yards per rush play, 7.0 yards per pass attempt and 4.1 yards per play. Overall, Georgia State is 1.2 yards per rush play, 0.5 yards per pass attempt and 1.3 yards per play worse than average offensively in 2013.
We do not envision Georgia State moving the ball against an underrated Bobcat stop unit that is allowing 23.5 points per game on 5.0 yards per play this season. Overall, Texas State is 0.3 yards per play better than average defensively, which gives the Bobcats an incredible 1.6 yards per play advantage over Georgia State’s pathetic attack.
It is true that Texas State possesses a bad offense that is averaging 22.8 points per game on 4.8 yards per play, which is 0.7 yards per play worse than average. However, the Panthers enter the game with an even more fragile defense that is yielding 37.7 points per game on 7.4 yards per play, which is 1.1 yards per play worse than average. Texas State has also found a prolific runner in Robert Lowe, who has scampered for 138 and 140 yards in two of the last three games.
While your next door neighbor is busy picking the winner between Florida State/Clemson, USC/Notre or Florida/Missouri, Pro Edge recommends finding the smaller schools who offer the greatest value. Texas State is our under-the-radar college football blowout winner!