With the 2021-22 NBA season underway, bettors can advantage of games every night of the week. With 30 teams and an 82-game schedule, there will be plenty of opportunities for bettors to capitalize. But, how do they do so? How can bettors gain an advantage and up their NBA betting game?
In today’s information age, there is nothing as far as NBA news that goes unnoticed. Oddsmakers have access to all of that information and set lines accordingly. Early every morning, lines and odds will be made available for that night’s games.
As more information is made available during the day of a game, lines may adjust and bettors that have wagered early can take advantage of any mistakes that oddsmakers have made. Injury reports are released a few times a day and lines will adjust accordingly. Lines become more accurate the closer it is to game time. If you want an advantage, bet early.
The Injury Report
Speaking of the injury reports, bettors should check them consistently. One injury makes a huge difference in basketball where only five players are on the floor. The impact of not having one starter for a game makes a huge difference in the outcome of said game.
Bettors also need to be aware of load management. Many of the league’s stars will not play on the second day of a back-to-back situation. That leads us to the next factor to consider when betting the NBA this season.
Successful bettors will find scheduling advantages. The league does a good job of trying to avoid back-to-back games, but teams will still play roughly 13 to 14 games on consecutive nights. It is typical for a Joel Embiid of the Sixers, for example, to not play on the second night of a back-to-back. Bettors need to anticipate those types of instances.
Bettors should also be aware of any trends like this one. Last year in back-to-back games against the same team, the team that lost the first game of a two-game series went 27-14-12 ATS in the second game.
The other thing to look for is teams that play a number of games over a certain number of days. No team will play four games in five nights this year, but three teams – Memphis, San Antonio, and Portland – will play eight games in 12 days. The wear and tear on teams during the season is something to consider before betting.
If you like to bet NBA totals, one of the easiest things you can do is look at pace numbers. The number of possessions a team has in a game can help determine whether a game will be a high-scoring or low-scoring game.
Take the Wizards of last season. They ranked just 18th in Offensive Rating, but they were third in the NBA in points per game (116.6). Yes, they had Bradley Beal who averaged over 30 points per game, but the big reason why they scored so much was that they played at the fastest pace in the league.
It also helps to look at offensive efficiency and the style of play when betting totals. Teams like the Knicks and Jazz are built around defense. However, both teams also shoot plenty of three-pointers, another stat worthy of checking when betting NBA totals.