The college football betting market is taking shape for the upcoming weekend as professional bettors and betting groups alike have started to make significant moves on certain games. While the sharps are known for getting the best number, they also have to wait for market liquidity and maturation so that artificial limits are lifted by the sports books. The experts at Pro Edge Sports have diligently followed the money trail this week and have uncovered several games that are being favored by the sharps from coast-to-coast.
Michigan at Michigan State (-6) (-110)
- The team with the most rushing yards has won 40 of the last 43 meetings in this series, which strongly favors the Spartans as they possess the nation’s best rush defense;
- Michigan State is allowing just 12.2 points per game this season on 2.1 yards per rush play, 4.7 yards per pass attempt and 215 total yards (3.5 yards per play). Overall, the Spartans are 1.7 yards per rush play, 1.9 yards per pass play and 1.7 yards per play better than average defensively in 2013;
- Michigan is 1-15 SU and 2-13-1 ATS in its last sixteen games as a conference underdog, including 0-9 SU and ATS as underdogs of six or less points.
Tennessee (+10.5) (-110) at Missouri
- The sharps jumped on this game almost immediately when Tennessee was initially installed as 13.5-point road underdogs. Young teams have a difficult time responding to their first loss of the season, and professional bettors like to exploit this “Bubble Burst” angle;
- Tennessee is 7-1 ATS as an underdog with revenge, while head coach Butch Jones is 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS following a loss by more than 26 points. Bettors would also be surprised to learn that Tennessee has held three of its last four opponents to season-low (or second-low) yardage.
The game that is attracting the most medial coverage this week is Miami at Florida State, and the oddsmakers have settled on making the Hurricanes 22-point underdogs. Interestingly, the underdog in this series has covered the point spread in 8 straight games, while also pulling the outright upset six times over that span. Let’s also note that in games involving 5-0 or better teams, the favorite is 24-28 SU and 19-33 ATS since 1990, including 5-15 SU and 3-17 ATS after scoring 49 or more points in their previous game.
Pro Edge Sports is not taking an official position on the Miami/Florida State game, but it should be noted that Miami is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS versus undefeated conference opponents and coach Al Golden will have his team prepared. For all of your expert wagering advice, turn to the handicapping service the professionals trust as Pro Edge Sports offers industry-leading honesty and transparency, together with unparalleled results.