Oskiem’s Betting Market Report & Free Picks for Wednesday, 2/14

Feb 14, 2024

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Welcome to Oskeim Sports’ Betting Market Report and Free Picks for Wednesday, February 14!  Oskeim’s award-winning sports handicappers provide bettors with winning information on Wednesday’s NBA and NHL games.  Be sure to check out Oskeim’s premium sports picks for sale at the online store!

Atlanta Hawks (-7) (-110) over Charlotte Hornets

Report: Since 2009, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater are 1501-1221-56 ATS (55.1%), including 643-516-26 ATS (55.5%) since 2018. This situation contains a profitable 593-427-24 ATS (58.1%) subset angle that involves teams coming off a loss in games with totals of greater than 220 points. Since 2005, NBA road favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of greater than 225 points are 258-191-9 ATS (57.5%), winning by an average margin of +10.1 points per game. Since 2001, conference road favorites of greater than four points with revenge are 333-258-8 ATS (56.5%).

Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 points with revenge are 192-148-7 ATS (56.5%) versus opponents coming off a home win, including 85-55-3 ATS (60.7%) since 2016. Finally, since 2007, NBA favorites coming off a double-digit home loss are 371-285-9 ATS (56.6%) with same-season revenge, including 77-55-1 ATS (58.3%) since 2020.

Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns OVER 234 points (-110)

Report: Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 6.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 545-458-28 to the Over (54.3%), covering the total by an average margin of +1.8 points per game. Since 1999, NBA home favorites of 9.5 or more points in games with totals of at least 225 points are 330-255-20 to the Over (56.4%), including 312-237-18 OVER (56.8%) since 2015, covering the total by an average of +2.5 points per game. Since 2011, .451 or greater double-digit non-division favorites coming off a game in which they covered the spread are 307-242-22 to the Over (55.9%) versus opponents entering off a loss, including 133-73-3 OVER (64.6%) since 2019, covering the total by an average of +5.33 points per game.

Since 1991, unrested non-conference teams coming off a game in which they scored 130 or more points are 69-37-4 to the Over (65.1%), covering the total by an average of +5.98 points per game. Finally, since 2018, unrested home favorites are 90-70-6 to the Over (56.2%) versus unrested opponents, including 30-18-1 OVER (62.5%) since 2022.

San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets (-1.5) (-155) 

Report: Since 2000, NHL favorites coming off a win as home favorites in which they allowed fewer than three goals are 1373-787 (63.6%; +3% ROI), including 251-129 (66.1%; +2% ROI) since 2020. Since 2014, .600 or greater favorites of -170 or greater are 485-222 (68.6%) from Game 41 out, winning by an average margin of +1.1 goals per game. Since 2014, NHL home favorites are 973-396 (71.1%) versus teams with revenge, winning by an average of +1.2 goals per game. Since 2004, NHL road underdogs of +200 or greater coming off a loss are 289-847 (25.4%; -11.3% ROI), including 94-304 (23.6%; -15% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.63 goals per game.

Since 2003, NHL underdogs that have lost five or more consecutive games to the opponent are 108-265 (29%; -22.9% ROI). Finally, since 2014, NHL teams coming off an overtime affair are 218-297 (42.3%; -3.9% ROI), including 66-103 (39.1%; -6.5% ROI) since 2020.

Minnesota Wild (-120) at Phoenix Coyotes

Report: Since 2003, NHL road favorites of -120 to -209 with revenge for a home loss are 599-324 (64.9%; +10.3% ROI), including 532-278 (65.7%; +14.8% ROI) avenging a home upset loss. Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -120 to -200 that are not off overtime in their previous two games are 480-272 (63.8%; +7.4% ROI) from Game 50 out. Since 2003, home underdogs versus teams with revenge entering off a game against .499 or worse opposition are 182-309 (37.1%; -18% ROI), including 39-107 (26.7%; -40% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 goals per game.

Minnesota applies to a very good 257-201 (56.1%; +3.7% ROI) statistical profile indicator of mine that has been profitable since 2017. Finally, since 2007, .401 or greater road favorites are 2232-1475 (60.2%; +5% ROI) versus .401 or greater opponents.

Oskeim Sports gives free NBA Picks and NBA Predictions throughout the 2023-24 NBA season. Oskeim Sports has been an industry-leading sports handicapping service since 2007. Its lead handicapper, Jeff Keim, has received 73 awards in football, basketball, baseball and hockey, including 15 handicapping championships and 53 Top 5 finishes. Visit daily for free NBA and NHL odds, totals and free picks.

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