Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report for Tuesday, July 5

Jul 5, 2022

mlb betting, mlb betting picks, mlb betting odds

The professional handicappers at Oskeim Sports have the winning information you need before betting on Tuesday’s MLB games. Oskeim’s MLB Betting Market Report gives you the winning edge you need.

Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros (-220)

Analysis: Since September 1, 2012, the Kansas City Royals are 21-90 (-44.7% ROI) straight-up and 44-68 (-21.4% ROI) against the run line as underdogs of +170 or greater following a game as underdogs in which they had more than three hits, including at least one home run. This situation is 18-3 straight-up and 15-6 against the run line since 2021. Houston is 25-11 at home this season, including winning eight straight inside the friendly confines of Minute Maid Park.

The Astros are 9-1 in their last ten games over which time they have outscored opponents by 31 runs. Kansas City has been outscored by nine runs in its last ten games. Kansas City starter Zack Greinke is a money-burning 31-52 (-29.5 units) against the run line in his career following back-to-back outings in which he allowed two or fewer earned runs.

Finally, Houston falls into a very good MLB system that is 278-93 (+6.0% ROI) straight-up and 208-163 (+3.0% ROI) against the run line since 2020. Take the Astros and invest with confidence.

Texas Rangers (-102) at Baltimore Orioles

Analysis: Baltimore falls into very negative 20-90 (-51.3% ROI) and 16-68 (-47.9% ROI) statistical profile indicators that date back to April 14, 2018, and invest against the Orioles when playing without rest versus opposing starting pitchers with a certain strikeout-to-walk ratio. The above indicators have all produced a substantial profit against the run line. The 20-90 situation is 11-27 since July 21, 2021, while the 16-68 situation is 7-21 (-44.0% ROI) over that span.

Baltimore right-hander Austin Voth toes the rubber with a 7.34 ERA, 5.50 xERA and 4.35 FIP in 25 appearances (3 starts) this season. The 30-year-old owns a career 3.53 BB/9 rate and has always been susceptible to the long ball (1.72 HR/9).  Take the Rangers and invest with confidence.

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves (-138)

Analysis: Since June 1, 2019, the Braves are 43-17 (+12.3% ROI) straight-up and 30-29 (+7.8% ROI) against the run line as home favorites of -131 or greater versus opponents with a worse winning percentage, including 9-1 SU and 7-3 RL in the last ten circumstances. Since June 21, 2021, Atlanta starting pitcher Ian Anderson is 9-1 (+32.9% ROI) straight-up and 8-2 (+63.2% ROI) against the run line following an outing in which he allowed four or more runs.

Since April 16, 2017, the Cardinals are 4-25 (-63.5% ROI) straight-up and 11-18 (-34.2% ROI) against the run line on the road in game 2 (or beyond) of a series as underdogs of +136 or less versus opponents with a better winning percentage. Take Atlanta and invest with confidence.

Additional Betting Trends for Tuesday, July 5

  • Since April 19, 2022, the New York Yankees are 20-0 (+53.7% ROI) straight-up and 15-5 (+48.4% ROI) against the run line in the first game of a series of more than one game if they are not coming off a double header.
  • Since July 8, 2017 (pre-All-Star games), favorites of -140 or greater in game 2 of a series are 80-26 (+15.7% ROI) straight-up and 55-51 (+6.1% ROI) against the run line following a game as home favorites with starting pitchers who won their previous outing (and never trailed in the win). This situation is 38-11 (+19.8% ROI) straight-up and 30-19 (+27.4% ROI) against the run line since 2020, including 14-2 SU in its last sixteen circumstances.
  • Since April 17, 2022, the Oakland Athletics are 1-13 straight-up and 6-7 against the run line as underdogs of more than +160.
  • Since August 1, 2019, Miami starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara is 10-2 UNDER following an outing in which he threw more than 104 pitches.

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